Yep, what looks great (or bad) in October and November doesn't always carry through to Dec-Mar. Last few years seemed to have a development that came out of nowhere and wrecked our winter (last year the PV and also the warm water NE of australia which kept the MJO in 4-5-6)
Yep big ol torch coming this winter after a cold November. It'll be interesting to see if the usual suspects go cold and snowy for a 3rd yr in a row....
Almost nothing here-but the band is approaching so maybe we'll get something. Some breezy conditions too, but by and large, the general public is saying "what storm" (we are under a Tropical storm warning here)