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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    SE ridge and a torch
  2. Brian5671
    with temps in the 40's and the ground saturated by 2 inches of rain? LOLZ
  3. Brian5671
    yeah that's nothing for our area. Some flakes after 2 inches of rain won't amount to much
  4. Brian5671
    I assume you're talking inches of rain not snow? Eastern areas favored for sure for heaviest precip-sharp QPF cutoff on the Euro west of NYC
  5. Brian5671
    yeah, I know-that's what I would call a window of opportunity. A good or event great pattern would be something that would last a month or maybe 6 weeks. If you go back to the famous winter of 10-11, we had a great pattern that lasted about 5-6 weeks and the goods were delivered bigly!
  6. Brian5671
    there's a misconcception here about "a great pattern" and a window of opportunity. Let's hope that window produces something before we lock into a torch La Nina pattern come Jan. And the weather in Central and Northern New England is alot different than NYC area. Sure they might have been excited but that's a completely different climo than us.
  7. Brian5671
    Weenies on a forum are different than mets. I didn't see many mets (even JB) barking about a great pattern.
  8. Brian5671
    Who said that? Never looked all that great with the lack of any arctic air....
  9. Brian5671
    that statement is one of the 7 stages of denial when the threat begins to fall apart
  10. Brian5671
    that was a classic weenie statement there! LOL 3 weenies for you
  11. Brian5671
    what a horrid model-there's nothing to keep it SE like a big high or extreme blocking
  12. Brian5671
    Give me one or two of these tracks later in winter and we'll all be happy....
  13. Brian5671
    a foot for Worcester and inland SNE east of I-91. Not much for Boston or other coastal spots. Sharp cut off of QPF N and W areas....
  14. Brian5671
    DT has a check list on his site for HECS/MECS type storms-this is one them-want the ridge axis over Idaho or somewhere like that. 50-50 low, banana high, etc
  15. Brian5671
    Let's get this track later in Dec and early Jan when the airmasses are better!
  16. Brian5671
    precip field much further west on the 3K NAM. Regular NAM only has about .50 QPF for the NYC area when as the 3K is triple that amount.
  17. Brian5671
    going to be tough right on the coast for BOS
  18. Brian5671
    Ski resorts rejoice after a slow start...
  19. Brian5671
    Yeah the lack of a cold high ahead of time is the killer here.
  20. Brian5671
    18z GFS with its usual suppressed solution at this range....
  21. Brian5671
    Go with warmth, you'll rarely be wrong these days....
  22. Brian5671
    I'd agree. Classic case of later and later development as someone above noted...
  23. Brian5671
    Euro has been slowly moving the precip max east last 3 runs. NE PA and Catskills get close to nothing now where the big rains and snows are now over New England.
  24. Brian5671
    Thats why OP models are a waste of time beyond day 5 or 6
  25. Brian5671
    GFS and CMC show a suppressed solution with almost no precip north and west of NYC. With no cold high to the north, I'd doubt such solutions
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