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Everything posted by Brian5671
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August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
crazy winds here-not alot of rain -
interestingly the 3K nam was one of the few models to show a miss to Florida's east coast.
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I see your point but every model has that same narrow band of heavy rain....
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Fay was like that east of the city-one firehose band and that was it....
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classic east of track situation like we saw with Fay 3K NAM is even further west with the 2 inch rain line over the Delaware River and west
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quick hitter on the nam-precip is done by 7-8pm tomorrow eve
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Even cutting by 25-50% is still impressive.
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Euro winds are rough city on east-overdone but wow
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That is certainly true. We'll see tomorrow right?
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Moving awfully fast to dump that much rain IMO
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yes, but it's a quick hitter. some of the more damaging storms have 30-40 mph winds for hours before the main show arrives-I agree with him-fast moving event with a couple inches of rain on relatively dry ground and a few hours of wind.
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not as much rain-2-3 inches for most of the subforum
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heavy rains for sure-maybe some gusty winds, but nothing crazy. The flooding threat is the big concern for places that get storms tomorrow, the possible PRE and then west of the storm track for the main show...
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I doubt it's a hurricane on the next update....
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Friction with the land too coming in at that angle. Michael missed entirely...wonder if the 3K nam is onto that....
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Once it became clear this would not intensify, that took away the poleward option some talked about had that happened. The weaker storm will just cruise NW and into FL. edit-however the 3K nam has a stronger storm further east....
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NAM landfalls a weak storm in SE Florida tomorrow overnight
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that and the shear are likely why this won't develop much more (at least according to today's models)
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running out of time-landfall is tomorrow night...if it LF's on Florida, goodbye to the stronger solutions.
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based on today's runs, locally we probably see a windy nor easter type of storm. Maybe some localized flooding.
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