Jump to content

Brian5671

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    41,426

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    that and the shear are likely why this won't develop much more (at least according to today's models)
  2. Brian5671
    running out of time-landfall is tomorrow night...if it LF's on Florida, goodbye to the stronger solutions.
  3. Brian5671
    based on today's runs, locally we probably see a windy nor easter type of storm. Maybe some localized flooding.
  4. Brian5671
    wet stretch on the euro
  5. Brian5671
    Is that even a cane? 1003 MB LOL
  6. Brian5671
    Floyd?
  7. Brian5671
    I think we'll know that answer within the next 24 hrs. Models do sometimes miss instensifications
  8. Brian5671
    LOL-that model is horrid-not sure why it's used for anything let alone tropical systems
  9. Brian5671
    no hurricane has hit this early up here. Closest match was Belle in 1976 which hit on 8/10. (Read elsewhere)
  10. Brian5671
    yep. We have been crushed day after day here. Got 1.5 inches last night while 10 miles north of me was dry. About 11 inches of rain here for the month
  11. Brian5671
    shows you how quickly things change with unpredictable tropical systems...went from Cat 2-3 into NC to weak sauce near FL and then inland up the coast in 12 hrs. Still time for more changes of course...we track
  12. Brian5671
    apparantly the 12zUKie looks similar to the 12z GFS-into FL and then mostly inland once to SC. A non event for us verbatim outside of some heavy rains etc.
  13. Brian5671
    GFS has a western track-brushes FL east coast and then inland for good over SC-not much time over water and thus weak sauce-some quick heavy rains for us and that's it (Verbatim)
  14. Brian5671
    I think this is moving too fast for those amounts-it goes from NC to MA in 24 hrs...that's got to be 35-40 MPH forward speed?
  15. Brian5671
    DCA +2.5 NYC +2.75 BOS +3 ORD +2 ATL +2.5 IAH +1.5 DEN +1 PHX +1 SEA + .5
  16. Brian5671
    11am:
  17. Brian5671
    caught the northern edge of the heavy rains here-picked up a quick inch. Most heavy rains, some rumbles of thunder
  18. Brian5671
    hard to hit FL's east coast from a SE angle. We've seen time and time again that the storm will want to stay offshore...with that said a track into Florida makes this a non event up here outside of some remnant rains
  19. Brian5671
    imagine a storm cutting up the DELMARVA going NW-we'd see some serious winds on that track.
  20. Brian5671
    it just clipped the northeast corner of the island and it was weak, so not much to disrupt anyway. Agree-it could be off to the races tonight/tomorrow
  21. Brian5671
    completely agree-anything skirting the coast is going to have issues with dry air ingestion, cooler waters, etc. Fast speed and above normal water temps would help here, but would still guess the strength of the storm would be over forecast as Irene and Gloria were
  22. Brian5671
    some storms getting ready to move across S CT....
  23. Brian5671
    Something to track!
  24. Brian5671
    will also pull in dry air from the continent-see Irene.
  25. Brian5671
    I wouldn't ignore anything the Euro puts out on tropical systems. However, seems early for this kind of hit-usually see it late Aug and on...but this year is busy so who knows.
×
×
  • Create New...