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Everything posted by Brian5671
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yeah still have 4-6 inches OTG here even after all that rain....will be cement tonight with lows in the low 20's.
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40 here. On and off heavy rain as the back edge approaches....still have solid snowcover
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Same thing every time. Very hard to get a true ice storm for most parts of this subforum. Imagine last Sunday predicting this storm would be mostly heavy rain with embedded thunder and temps 45-55?
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the airmass is stale and any left over cold will quickly be routed out. Would be another thing if temps were 15-20 this am....
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
given the way today is going it's not a bad call... -
Storm track over Philly with a stale airmass won't lead to much ice for anyone if the NAM is right....heavy rains even if below freezing would not accrete that well.
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completely agree-it was 38 here today well above guidance. Unless you have a fresh source of cold air, any ZR will cause temps to rise to 32 and then just above. Also, moderate to heavy ZR will not accrete that well. IF you want a true ice storm you need temps holding in the 20's and light ZR for many hours.
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when was the last time one verified? Seems difficult in many areas as the precip often turns to rain with temps just above freezing
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what a difference one week makes-last sunday models showed 2 weeks of cold and snow....got about 3 inches last week and possibly nothing but rainstorms this week....
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OBS and nowcast 9 AM today - Noon Valentines Day Feb 13-14, 2021
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nothing here. Bust- 76 replies
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yep got super warm around New Years and stayed warm the rest of the way. Dec was bad as it was just bitter cold and dry-the pattern we have now is much better-cold but not brutal and a nice storm track around a weaker SE ridge
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almost the entire state of TX and OK are under a WS warning
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OBS and nowcast 9 AM today - Noon Valentines Day Feb 13-14, 2021
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
bone dry here 29/9 new NAM has very little for anyone- 76 replies
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president's day weekend. I don't remember anything in March but I do remember a 3-4 incher in Feb on that long weekend
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WSWatch for Houston. Don't see that much
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yep after the last 2 years I'll take it!
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Perhaps, but if you look back to 2010-11-the pattern lasted about 6 weeks and that was it-I think we went snowless that March.....We need the next 10 days to deliver....
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nothing to plow it with there-it will be cold for several days-will cripple the area....
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wow torch city in the LR....clown timeframe but 60 would feel tropical
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GFS has little to nothing for Sat night
