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Everything posted by Brian5671
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it's amazing-nothing has changed-basically a redux of their poor response time back in the storms of 2010-2012.
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August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
We haven't had a cold front here in weeks lol. Recember Septembers have been warm/hot...ways to go -
August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
I think we have entered another longer term snowless era....persistent +NAO and EPO seems to be going more and more positive -
At the worst of it I had no cell phone signal-had to drive into town-truly cut off from the world.
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After 4 long days, power has been restored here-the tree damage is astounding-lot of hard hit microburst/tornado type damage.
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some gusts over 50 here for sure with some squalls
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That feeder band jumped over most of us-far eastern LI may get into it....
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wind products on these models are almost always over done-reduce by 25 to even 50%
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impressive winds with last night's storm-gusts to 50 with it...was like a glorified warm front moving through
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winds ramping up here. Not much rain so far-a shower around 5am and the thunderstorm last evening
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August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
crazy winds here-not alot of rain -
interestingly the 3K nam was one of the few models to show a miss to Florida's east coast.
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I see your point but every model has that same narrow band of heavy rain....
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Fay was like that east of the city-one firehose band and that was it....
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classic east of track situation like we saw with Fay 3K NAM is even further west with the 2 inch rain line over the Delaware River and west
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quick hitter on the nam-precip is done by 7-8pm tomorrow eve
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Even cutting by 25-50% is still impressive.
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Euro winds are rough city on east-overdone but wow
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That is certainly true. We'll see tomorrow right?
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Moving awfully fast to dump that much rain IMO
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yes, but it's a quick hitter. some of the more damaging storms have 30-40 mph winds for hours before the main show arrives-I agree with him-fast moving event with a couple inches of rain on relatively dry ground and a few hours of wind.
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not as much rain-2-3 inches for most of the subforum
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heavy rains for sure-maybe some gusty winds, but nothing crazy. The flooding threat is the big concern for places that get storms tomorrow, the possible PRE and then west of the storm track for the main show...
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I doubt it's a hurricane on the next update....
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