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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. At this point, I'm rooting for a 2012 TORCH.
  2. in the end, the MJO will decide a good part of it-if it goes back to the poor phases, lights out....
  3. Euro ensembles warming in the long range for the east-cold looks centered out west...with each passing day it becomes more possible that the 11/15 event will be our biggest event of the winter
  4. That won't really cut it-it might get us a storm, but we need a good strong run through the good phases in order to get a 2-3 week period with multiple threats....
  5. if we end up back at MJO 5 or 6, it's lights out on the rest of the month most likely....need a push into 8-1-2 which we have yet to see this winter for some reason
  6. December was +2.6 and Jan -.1 so a + 2.5 would mean a fairly mild winter overall-outside of the 2 arctic shots.
  7. Blizzard of 1888 redux or bust....that would be awesome if that was our storm
  8. Welcome aboard the SS Titanic. I boarded 3 weeks ago....
  9. amazing-message boards completely dead in the heart of winter. what a clunker....
  10. almost doesnt matter this winter-LR guidance has been complete garbage for the most part.
  11. If it comes at all. The 1st week Feb Warmup was only seen about a week out. Who knows what it will look like come 2/15....modeling has been horrid this winter...
  12. I think we're done through 2/15 or so, the question will be can the MJO get into 8-1-2 for the 2nd half of the month...
  13. the whole winter had something like 5 inches of rain in NYC (Nov-Mar). The spring and summer were hot with the dry ground and lack of snow cover Anywhere
  14. 2012 was a torch from 2/1 on. 80's in March. Day after day of blue skies....
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