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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    Even cutting by 25-50% is still impressive.
  2. Brian5671
    Euro winds are rough city on east-overdone but wow
  3. Brian5671
    Dry city and east-wet N and W
  4. Brian5671
    That is certainly true. We'll see tomorrow right?
  5. Brian5671
    Moving awfully fast to dump that much rain IMO
  6. Brian5671
    yes, but it's a quick hitter. some of the more damaging storms have 30-40 mph winds for hours before the main show arrives-I agree with him-fast moving event with a couple inches of rain on relatively dry ground and a few hours of wind.
  7. Brian5671
    not as much rain-2-3 inches for most of the subforum
  8. Brian5671
    heavy rains for sure-maybe some gusty winds, but nothing crazy. The flooding threat is the big concern for places that get storms tomorrow, the possible PRE and then west of the storm track for the main show...
  9. Brian5671
    I doubt it's a hurricane on the next update....
  10. Brian5671
    Looks intense! LOL
  11. Brian5671
    Friction with the land too coming in at that angle. Michael missed entirely...wonder if the 3K nam is onto that....
  12. Brian5671
    Once it became clear this would not intensify, that took away the poleward option some talked about had that happened. The weaker storm will just cruise NW and into FL. edit-however the 3K nam has a stronger storm further east....
  13. Brian5671
    NAM landfalls a weak storm in SE Florida tomorrow overnight
  14. Brian5671
    that and the shear are likely why this won't develop much more (at least according to today's models)
  15. Brian5671
    running out of time-landfall is tomorrow night...if it LF's on Florida, goodbye to the stronger solutions.
  16. Brian5671
    based on today's runs, locally we probably see a windy nor easter type of storm. Maybe some localized flooding.
  17. Brian5671
    wet stretch on the euro
  18. Brian5671
    Is that even a cane? 1003 MB LOL
  19. Brian5671
    Floyd?
  20. Brian5671
    I think we'll know that answer within the next 24 hrs. Models do sometimes miss instensifications
  21. Brian5671
    LOL-that model is horrid-not sure why it's used for anything let alone tropical systems
  22. Brian5671
    no hurricane has hit this early up here. Closest match was Belle in 1976 which hit on 8/10. (Read elsewhere)
  23. Brian5671
    yep. We have been crushed day after day here. Got 1.5 inches last night while 10 miles north of me was dry. About 11 inches of rain here for the month
  24. Brian5671
    shows you how quickly things change with unpredictable tropical systems...went from Cat 2-3 into NC to weak sauce near FL and then inland up the coast in 12 hrs. Still time for more changes of course...we track
  25. Brian5671
    apparantly the 12zUKie looks similar to the 12z GFS-into FL and then mostly inland once to SC. A non event for us verbatim outside of some heavy rains etc.
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