I kind of like all that energy hanging back into the SW around Valentine's day. I do think the current -PNA/GOA High is overdone on models. Could be a big storm.
I would pretty easily bet PHL -2.5.
I'm waiting for my post to be approved in PHL subforum, but I once recorded Vegas lines when teams had +8> winning streaks (SF), and found out they covered at like 46%.
Trending colder...was rain past few runs
They like a high pressure in the -AO domain
-PNA ridge near the Aleutians is really strong, too powerful to overcome, still not fully considered.
You probably have a good heart. The "ownership of this board" doesn't really know what they are moderating..
It's 99% non weather posts, no one since Vawxman in 2005 has really given any new scientific information on here.
This board sucks.. moderation is so immature. How's that for the only science forum on the internet? Just like the government disappointing, disappointing. sick of being moderated by trash.
You'd be better off making conclusion based on subsurface ENSO.. higher correlation. by a pretty significant margin actually vs the surface difference
An example is this year so far being more +PNA vs 10-year average,. when subsurface is +Neutral-weak El Nino vs surface La Nina