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Stormchaserchuck1

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Everything posted by Stormchaserchuck1

  1. I told you.. strong PNA December's have this really strong NAO/PNA correlation in February
  2. Look at the strength of this thing.. Day16 model A February La Nina condition could definitely reverse next year.
  3. -AO coming back. now veering into +EPO in the medium range. no ice storms in +EPO. Ji likes this map
  4. I think we are going to start phasing-out the Aleutian ridge in the LR.
  5. I kind of like all that energy hanging back into the SW around Valentine's day. I do think the current -PNA/GOA High is overdone on models. Could be a big storm.
  6. I would pretty easily bet PHL -2.5. I'm waiting for my post to be approved in PHL subforum, but I once recorded Vegas lines when teams had +8> winning streaks (SF), and found out they covered at like 46%.
  7. I keep saying this but I think Days 13-16 are going to bust/trend colder. Maybe a little -EPO/+PNA setup.
  8. Trending colder...was rain past few runs They like a high pressure in the -AO domain -PNA ridge near the Aleutians is really strong, too powerful to overcome, still not fully considered.
  9. (Maybe that's why they're picking up a -PNA at Days 14-16?) -AO's/-NAO's have a ~+15-20 day lag from SSW at that time of year.
  10. Just tired of waiting on people to approve me when what I'm posting isn't really trash. That's all. all good. do as you like.
  11. I know if there's a storm there will be 1k posts /minute
  12. Yeah then I'll be bored as the DOJ taught me the price of being extraverted is great
  13. There's really no where else to post. It's a weather monopoly. Europe is surprisingly stupid, always lol.
  14. You probably have a good heart. The "ownership of this board" doesn't really know what they are moderating.. It's 99% non weather posts, no one since Vawxman in 2005 has really given any new scientific information on here.
  15. This board sucks.. moderation is so immature. How's that for the only science forum on the internet? Just like the government disappointing, disappointing. sick of being moderated by trash.
  16. I think this is a pretty big model error coming in at -PNA Days 14-16 on gfs ensembles (haven't seen 18z yet).
  17. You'd be better off making conclusion based on subsurface ENSO.. higher correlation. by a pretty significant margin actually vs the surface difference An example is this year so far being more +PNA vs 10-year average,. when subsurface is +Neutral-weak El Nino vs surface La Nina
  18. QBO favorable with Strong El Nino could be awesome Flip this year for the NAO lol
  19. If Nino 1+2 is already warm we will probably be going into El Nino. May has been the month where it backs off or goes full forward lately.
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