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Stormchaserchuck1

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Everything posted by Stormchaserchuck1

  1. This is the following Winter - so you can see the PHX happening is a developing-El Nino occurrence as this Winter precip pattern is very El Nino There has never been a year in the 70-year composite that matched the "Winter before El Nino" better, in the CONUS
  2. Hottest March's in Phoenix, rolled forward to the following April - August (29 analogs) 12z EPS mean for Phoenix has 100, 102, 101 March 19-21. Their all time monthly high for March was 100 on March 26, 1988.
  3. A little trend toward -NAO after the early March SSW. The last few SSW's have been missed by models in the 3-4 week, then they catch on at about 10-day.
  4. ^After March, can you do the Dec-March temperature rankings for Phoenix? My guess is it will be 3-4F above #2. Todays 12z EPS has 100, 102, 101 in PHX.
  5. That 77F at 2am on March 12 is impressive.. and they were saying 24 hour temp change, that's an impressive 12 hour temp change!
  6. @GaWx Crude Oil went up +9.2% today, making the trade 3-0, +13.2% Total. I still have a Weak Up signal (4/10) tomorrow and Monday, then it looks like my technical indictor doesn't have a signal anymore.
  7. Is 77F at 2am for DCA the highest ever for Winter?
  8. Getting these impressive Winter temp spikes. Remember the Jan 26, 2024 80F at DCA
  9. Yeah it's crazy how far south these models have snow
  10. Yeah some places down south where it didn't rain are going to have a very warm midnight high. DCA is still 78F
  11. Snow depth still isn't that bad - a good area of 1"+. Some moderate/heavy snow in DC around 12pm. Will be interesting to see if it happens with temps so warm right now.
  12. EPS yesterday had PHX hitting 101 on March 19. Today the 12z EPS mean has 100, 101, 101, March 19-21
  13. Yeah I've been playing an Up signal on it! I have it for tomorrow too (today since 6pm), but it is weaker than yesterday's. So far the CL trade is 2-0, +4%. Trump may do things to intentionally bring the price down though, that is my only fear with the investment.
  14. Lamar knows his value. It would have surprised me if he got an extension paying the same as Tua, Jordan Love, Dak Prescott etc.
  15. Early signs are El Nino is developing as east-based
  16. I'm really curious to see what the N. America 500mb does next Winter if a strong El Nino develops, after the record +H5 out West the last 2 Winters. We're kind of breaking into a new cycle here.
  17. @GaWx Yesterday's close was $85.08, and today's close was $86.39, so technically this was a "successful day", with a 1.5% gain, however with the volatility, it's not that far from even. I have the same Up signal on Oil tomorrow, let's see how that goes.
  18. DJFM NAO is actually going to end up slightly positive. @40/70 Benchmark The N. Atlantic SST Summer predictor index has come within ~0.10 the last two Winters.
  19. I'm a little surprised, I have an up signal on it using technical indicators I have tested. Still extremely volatile - it was $76 an hour ago, now it's $85
  20. As always, when a super warm day is initialized, models lose snow threats. They don't estimate this stuff right when it is ahead of time.
  21. I liked Likely more than Andrews. He was a really good blocker for Lamar. Is it true Andrews has never caught a TD in the playoffs (and that's in a lot of games)?
  22. Not a tough call to be long Oil for tomorrow.
  23. I would be a little surprised if it got Strong or greater on the RONI.
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