Stormchaserchuck1

You probably aren't aware but people have only talked to me on here, after someone in the physical interacts with me, enters building, etc. fwiw. Thanks

Is AfewUniversesbelownormal still active? Can other people see these posts?

Locked. I was posting too much consecutively, thirsting for discussion. I just get excited. The last time we had a -AO like what's being advertised on models Dec 7-13 is 2009: Here are the broader analogs: My 45N theorum This is even before I hypothesize we transition into +PNA (or much less -pna) Dec 15 Anyway, then 1989 is the next best analog. That had a much different outcome thereafter, 35 years ago. (87, 85, 83, 81 -ao matches.. let's see what happens) 2016, 2017 were liter -AO matches Dec 7-13, and these went heavy -PNA Jan/Feb

Still showing up. +PNA Dec 15-28: +2020 2005 2004 2000* La Nina 1995* La Nina 1986 1985 1980 1969 1963 1960 1958 1956 minus 2021 -2016 -2012 -2008 -2007 -1992* El Nino -1984 -1978 -1971 -1970 -1965* El Nino -1959 -1957* El Nino -1951 -1949 -1948

-PNA(now) will deevolve

Also, Russia has been very cold (anomaly) since the descent into cold season. Ice accretion was accelerant(vs normal) every day then anomalous High pressure over snowcover, after. I've just been watching this, and it's been impressive anomaly.

It's been a long time since 45N has been consistently below normal. This has shown up several consecutive models runs now. (+4 more model runs, going back to yesterday) We have been, since 2019, reversing the Pacific and Atlantic at -0.70 correlation(record) I think the cold showing up in western Europe in +15-16D will translate to a favorable Pacific (+PNA(not -NAO)) in 20 days. We have had a -NAO on Christmas +4 days every year since 2017, and 7/8 years since 2014. This has been an anomaly in the midst of a very +NAO time. Laws of waves and averages gives us a 80% chance of having NAO negative Dec 21-28 this year. This means that with a favorable Pacific, the Atlantic will be at least not be against us. (I predict a 4-8" storm in the MA (average for Dec is 3") and a general snowy/cold time ~Dec 15-29/30.) [PNA may move more negative around Christmas when the NAO tendency dips negative]