SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Then there's the Icon that screws everyone over
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What a weenie GFS OP run. Straight out of JBs basement There's 5 or 6 threats on that run.
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This is a dream snowy pattern for SNE/CNE. Very 07-08 like. Enjoy
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From the most obvious source. Don't understand why. I could see a snow/sleet to rain scenario for sure. Ultimately I favor the boundary to end up in SNE though.
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Had the cold air been as extensive as it was 25+ years ago we probably could've had another 94 on our hands this month.
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And unfortunately any blocking is too far out on the ensembles right now. Personally think this is a SNE north gradient pattern. Think 08 though maybe a tad further south but time will tell
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That's true but underestimate the SE ridge at your own peril. A little blocking would do wonders for us right now.
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It's all about that boundary. Right now it favors SNE and north
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80s had consistently small to moderate events along with very cold temps. Our averages are soaring now so those events have dwindled. Now it's all or nothing winters however climate change is affecting our weather patterns more than ever. These new patterns are not favorable for significant snows so we're seeing more and more nothing years
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Or just climate change
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Maybe things can turn around late winter. I know Nina Marches can be decent. And a -PNA is less unfavorable in late winter. However I'm not getting my hopes up. This winter has mainly been a different kind of disaster....cold & dry vs the usual warm/wet. And of course when more precip does arrive it's rain.
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There's a chance that the TPV press causes a southward adjustment
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It would be nice if 06z GFS verified. Shades of 94 on that run. Unfortunately ensembles are a lot warmer so I don't buy it.
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Really I think it should be pretty easy. Ensembles are quite warm.
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Holy moly they're saying gusts up to 100mph...wow.
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Atrocious winter. Cold and dry that will only make drought conditions a lot worse heading into the warm season. Big time fire season coming?
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Reminder that we're still under a moderate to severe drought. If things don't reverse then we're in trouble come summertime
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Anything to get rid of this cold
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Or the "I thought global warming was happening"
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Places along the Gulf Coast are about to have more snow than us.
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All these small events are nice and all but man would I love another KU, it's been years. I really think the right storm could deliver record snows given warm ssts, dynamics, more precip.
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Should be done here by 9-930
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NWS is going to do well. Let's not keep doubting them please
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If ratios get better and rates ramp up it'll be really easy to get 4" in 2-3 hours
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Will need to see models start trending favorably soon. Most of them have precip offshore
