SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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This is a blue balls winter so far.
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It's going to snow. Ensembles continue to hit us. GFS OP just had another weenie run. It's a matter of which system gets us. I think our moods would shift if we could get a nice 2-4" event tonight
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Hopefully HRRR is correct with its wall of snow depiction. That would easily drop a few inches (2-4") in 2-3 hours before any changeover.
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My SNE snow pattern and us only getting 2-4" by the 20th is looking really good right now.
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People want results instead of pretty Day 10+ maps. You can scream epic or amazing pattern all you want but unless something happens it's just fantasy. Our amazing January pattern gave us almost nothing
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Pattern looks quite favorable rest of February and probably into March. In fact it gets more favorable as the days drag on. Not everything will be a hit but there will be many opportunities
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Now if we could only get some results
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Weenie happy hour GFS run
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If next week works out then idc if it rains on Saturday
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I hope everyone knows our favorable period wasn't supposed to come until after the 10th. The AO is still positive and MJO unfavorable. Not surprised to see models look better for next week. This is definitely SNE storm but hopefully we can get something too
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I did say this coming pattern would favor SNE a lot more than us but that doesn't mean it can't snow here. Also "huge bust". The most models spit out was 1-2" so calm down lol.
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This was a fairly warm system aloft. Not much cold wedging either so even surface temps are warming. Advisory called for an inch of snow/sleet and that makes sense. Wasn't expecting more than that from this one. Much higher ceiling Saturday
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Hopefully that continues. Has the makings of a nice snow event if it trends a little colder.
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I agree here. One storm at a time. I'm just focusing on tonight into tomorrow morning first to see what happens. Colder/snowier outcome would probably lead to the same for next system.
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One storm at a time. Next week will change a lot
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Which is probably not great. We want a strong thump. Weaker precip won't help
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SE ridge linking with blocking on Euro...same ole song and dance. My 2-4" by the 20th is looking great Actually think there's a good window late Feb into 1st week of March. Blocking gets situated and less western troughiness
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I wouldn't be surprised if we ended up in a screw zone with systems prior to Feb 10 being north of us and post 10th south of us.
