SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Mt Holly covered its bases well here. 8-16 forecast, takes care of the Euro's lower tier and touch bases of GFS/NAM.
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How accurate is this that far out?
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Yes please. Being in New Brunswick I can afford some NW ticks.
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Euro never liked this storm.
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It's been back and forth a lot with this. But of course a further east track is definitely possible
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That looks like pure trash
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Looked like garbage but it is DT so yeah
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I don't buy the lighter precip with an intensifying storm. That seems to be a big difference between the snowier models vs the less snowy ones
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Someone's getting 3-4"+ rates and thundersnow. The frontogenesis is ridiculous
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I'm looking at 18hrs out and I can assure it won't lol
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The NWS & Mt. Holly have a lot of updating to do tomorrow.
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I remember Tombo. Those play by plays of Boxing Day were awesome
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They will be
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Feel quite good being in central NJ. The trend from the Nam has been northward ticks. This could put the jackpot zone closer to this area and likely closer to NYC as well.
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Parts of Southern NJ pushing 3 feet. That's nuts
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If it's correct then people are not ready for what's coming
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That wouldn't surprise me. Often it starts faster than expected and ends earlier than forecast.
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As long as it's a strong, dynamic system then I prefer a very tucked in track maybe 50-75 miles SE of ACY
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Yes it was.
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I still can't believe the GFS OP pulled this off.
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Let's keep our expectations in check though. Remember NAM struggles mightily beyond 36-48hrs, we're just entering its more accurate range.
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Correct. Whatever hundredths of QPF we lose to a mix won't matter once the storm gets going.
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Um no lol
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Well when you keep weening out over every storm eventually you'll be right.
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Good point. Imagine the panic tomorrow if warnings go up for 12-18"+
