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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Tellies would favor a big storm but our luck has been terrible
  2. SnoSki14
    They barely get any snow anymore. I think Richmond has like an 8 year streak. But dead clock
  3. SnoSki14
    Tell that to the NE forum crowd
  4. SnoSki14
    Still stinks but globals probably aren't the way to go. A lot of upstream convection that could affect how intense and /or north the fringe gets. Mesos will handle this a lot better.
  5. SnoSki14
    In this instance that could end up further south. We won't know exactly where that fringe sets up until tomorrow probably. 12z suite needs to shift slightly north today otherwise even I-78 will be too far north
  6. SnoSki14
    Once again the monstrous elephant in the room aka CC is being ignored. There's a reason why the northern stream has been so dominant, why the endless Nina pattern hasn't left, why there are too many cooks in the kitchen every winter that screw things up. Every new pattern is a dice roll and it's getting harder and harder to get a good result.
  7. SnoSki14
    I still think the 11-12 system has potential and then probably before we change to warmer pattern.
  8. SnoSki14
    Unfortunately I think your area is a no go. I-80 north is screwed. 1-78 will likely be northern extent. Nam shows this quite well
  9. SnoSki14
    There's probably going to be decent banding on the northern fringe with nothing north of there. Think it sets up near or just south of I78
  10. SnoSki14
    It's good for DC and southern regions
  11. SnoSki14
    I agree. Cold and dry sucks.
  12. SnoSki14
    Rare instance where SE ridge actually helps us
  13. SnoSki14
    Such an odd setup. Normally we'd torch in this scenario but confluence and TPV really keeping it cold.
  14. SnoSki14
    There's a limit to how far north this can go, confluence is very strong
  15. SnoSki14
    Very gradient look on the CFS for February. Agreed and don't forget the stronger than forecast Hudson blocking that models have missed. That could play a huge role in the back half of winter despite the Nina pattern.
  16. SnoSki14
    Honestly not a bad spot to be a few days out. Agreed that with strong high to the north this could keep trending more amped/north.
  17. SnoSki14
    Probably have a couple more days to see any north bumps. I'm hoping we can score a light event at least.
  18. SnoSki14
    Models are trying to go through miller B route. Looks like the shortwave phases some with a TPV lobe.
  19. SnoSki14
    Stop trolling. It's solidly BN.
  20. SnoSki14
    Euro could be a blip run but how everyone was dead set on a suppressed outcome when these things almost always come north was strange to me.
  21. SnoSki14
    I'll take warm/dry during winter if it's not going to snow
  22. SnoSki14
    Good for them at least. Some haven't seen snow in years Honestly if the strong NAO lasts into Feb with SE ridge popping it could be a good gradient pattern for us
  23. SnoSki14
    That would be a disaster for those places. It hasn't snowed in years for many down there
  24. SnoSki14
    That's hilarious
  25. SnoSki14
    It wouldn't take much to get a light event up here
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