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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    It'll be interesting to see if that applies again but generally that has seemed to work out well. The higher end 4-5" totals will need to verify though
  2. SnoSki14
    Definitely a high end advisory event looking more likely but only local spots hit warning criteria.
  3. SnoSki14
    Strong gradient like pattern. Some models showing Arctic ridging. If the gradient can slip south every now and then for latter Dec and Jan then it could get interesting. I'd feel better being north though
  4. SnoSki14
    This mornings Nam got better compared to 0z. Think 3-5" looking better and better. Some areas may even approach 6" in South Central NJ.
  5. SnoSki14
    I like 2-4" from this. Advisory is right on the money. Agree about the ratios. Some localized spots will definitely see 4"+
  6. SnoSki14
    I would take multiple +15-20 winter temp months if we could get another Jan 2016
  7. SnoSki14
    Man central/south Jersey is getting all the good stuff in winter and during severe weather season
  8. SnoSki14
    MJO is very weak and should have negligible effects
  9. SnoSki14
    Last minute amplified trends that usually screw us could work in our favor
  10. SnoSki14
    Some holiday mood snows would be nice. Keeping expectations very low. Even an inch would be an accomplishment
  11. SnoSki14
    All ensembles have a very mild pattern coming up
  12. SnoSki14
    Shut the blinds on the Euro. Blowtorch second half of December
  13. SnoSki14
    It does look very mild
  14. SnoSki14
    Thank god. Cold/dry sucks
  15. SnoSki14
    Hopefully that trend continues because there is potential there.
  16. SnoSki14
    Nice to see more ridging build out west in time. Maybe we can get one of these shortwaves to dig and deliver.
  17. SnoSki14
    That doesn't mean there's no drought or low reservoirs
  18. SnoSki14
    Seeing several clipper type systems on guidance so although big snowstorms are off the table, light to moderate events seem possible even down to Mid-Atlantic
  19. SnoSki14
    Bingo. Unless you live in C/NNE or near lakes you're gonna get skunked. Coastal track is dead and gone...until spring of course
  20. SnoSki14
    Same ole Great lakes tracks. It's cold/dry to warm/wet and back to cold dry. Horrible pattern for snow here. Maybe in January when storm track drops south we'll get something but this is a crappy pattern. Time to move to the lakes, tons of lake effect snows
  21. SnoSki14
    Do you think this pattern is permanent because it looks like it.
  22. SnoSki14
    This has been the reality for the past decade. Bluewave constantly points this out. It's the same kind of storm track too. The only ones that really benefit are anyone around the lakes and C/NNE. Maybe the pattern will flip again one day but we need to see a complete change in the forcing out in the Pacific.
  23. SnoSki14
    I think people need to let go of the analogs of the past. We're in a completely different climate now.
  24. SnoSki14
    Colder airmass to start so yes I agree though similar setup to Tuesday with high escaping. Will depend on storm track Unfortunately think majority of snows occurs NW of our region. SNE and north will do really well. Borderline for NYC
  25. SnoSki14
    Agreed
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