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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    GEFS still the outlier with trough out west leading to much warmer conditions east & ridging. Bet snowman loves that
  2. SnoSki14
    We'd probably get a solid storm if airmass was a little colder. Pretty nice track actually
  3. SnoSki14
    High is moving out, antecedent airmass isn't cold enough. Track won't help. You need to be well N&W or elevated
  4. SnoSki14
    You're getting white rain at best, surface temps are way too warm Probably have to wait til mid Dec for a light to moderate event. Seems likely we'll get something with coming pattern
  5. SnoSki14
    For SNE and north sure, not down here.
  6. SnoSki14
    Probably more likely than normal that we see some snow. Very volatile weather pattern though
  7. SnoSki14
    This set-up would probably work in January with a colder antecedent air mass. Track isn't bad. Fast flow doesn't allow low to amp up and move inland.
  8. SnoSki14
    You aren't getting snow in the city next week. High is retreating, low will cut west. Not enough cold out ahead of it either. It's a lost cause
  9. SnoSki14
    On the bright side today shows the MJO getting to phase 8, which reflects the early snow threats to our N/W zones
  10. SnoSki14
    Favorable snow pattern for midwest/lakes and C/N New England. Lean towards cooler than normal further south but likely too warm for snow due to unfavorable storm track.
  11. SnoSki14
    Lock it in
  12. SnoSki14
    The only thing I could see is the fast flow helping a system from over amplifying and if there's enough cold air in place we get some overrunning. That's prob the best we can hope for
  13. SnoSki14
    I remember the 2018 Thanksgiving cold snap, that was some serious mid winter style cold
  14. SnoSki14
    It's been pretty much the same winter pattern for the last decade minus a few blips here and there.
  15. SnoSki14
    It feels that way. Same ole garbage pattern locked in for years. At least I got to experience an amazing winter stretch from 2000-2018
  16. SnoSki14
    You won't see MJO 8, it's already curling back to COD
  17. SnoSki14
    You always post the same day 15+ ensembles that show a supposedly amazing pattern that never comes to fruition
  18. SnoSki14
    It's just pure hopium at this point. I don't see anything to be positive about. SE ridge looks pretty dominant and cold dumps west with troughing So cold/dry to warm/wet and vice versa will be the theme. Same storm tracks we've been seeing for years now
  19. SnoSki14
    We obviously know it's just a LR OP run. Pattern doesn't look favorable for snow to me. Too much SE ridging, not enough sustained ridging out west.
  20. SnoSki14
    Oh look the classic warm/wet to cold/dry and vice versa pattern. SE ridge comes back every time
  21. SnoSki14
    If that trough buries out west then we're screwed. I suspect we'll get some cold intrusions given the -EPO but looks very meh overall.
  22. SnoSki14
    Dude's a huge troll but strong RNA pattern will lead to trough out west and possible SE ridge out east.
  23. SnoSki14
    RNA will kill your December, you can book it
  24. SnoSki14
    Lock it in
  25. SnoSki14
    Good luck with that dude. I see a very similar pattern to last year. And I wouldn't be shocked if the deep south got smoked due to some suppressed cut off while northern areas get shut out again. You will not get a storm unless the Pacific jet from hell abates.
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