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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    CMC bumped north. GFS looked good early on
  2. SnoSki14
    Plenty of time for things to bump north. That was always the rule in previous storms. Usually we wanted the snow zone further south days out due to these inevitable north trends.
  3. SnoSki14
    New England smoking cirrus while Southern states get smoked?
  4. SnoSki14
    It barely started lol. Why don't we actually wait til 1/15 instead of chasing day 7+ op runs.
  5. SnoSki14
    DC south could do really well in this pattern.
  6. SnoSki14
    If models are underestimating the Atlantic blocking like they've been doing then that may not play out. Could end up shunting SE ridge further south setting up a potential gradient pattern.
  7. SnoSki14
    I wouldn't give up yet. GEFS/EPS been trending with less confluence and more amplification. Still several days to go
  8. SnoSki14
    Another reason to tread lightly on model runs this far out
  9. SnoSki14
    Yup good trends getting the confluence weaker
  10. SnoSki14
    Southern states are going to clean up while we get nothing?
  11. SnoSki14
    Don't feed the troll
  12. SnoSki14
    He's a realist when it comes to weather. People may not like it, especially during winter but it verifies most of the time.
  13. SnoSki14
    How anyone would live and die by day 7+ op runs is beyond me.
  14. SnoSki14
    We're cooking today. 65F right now, above forecast. Feels awesome
  15. SnoSki14
    I don't think so. It's going to snow
  16. SnoSki14
    Following day 7+ OP runs will give you an aneurysm. Just follow the ensembles and give it a rest until after the new year.
  17. SnoSki14
    This setup could trend favorably given pattern aloft. Lots of confluence nearby with strong blocking present
  18. SnoSki14
    The 6th and 10-11th are the two main opportunities. The 6th looks very SWFE-ish. 0z GFS was an outlier, 06 GFS brought it back. With such a strong blocking pattern, it could trend towards a miller B and further south.
  19. SnoSki14
    Some classic GFS snow porn That's a pretty textbook snowstorm pattern showing up. We'd likely have more chances after the 8-10th too.
  20. SnoSki14
    Completely sheared out
  21. SnoSki14
    Yeah that could deliver too
  22. SnoSki14
    GFS OP is how you deliver in this pattern
  23. SnoSki14
    And inflation will magically disappear. I can't wait for my $1.50 gas
  24. SnoSki14
    If the pacific jet can relax even a little bit then pattern is loaded with potential. Jan 5-7 then 9-11 with more afterwards. Unfortunately the trends this winter have been to strengthen the jet as we get closer in
  25. SnoSki14
    GFS mainly cold/dry with clipper potential. You really need a sustained western ridge for something better. Probably a colder version of our December pattern. Best odds at something more significant is Jan 10-20
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