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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    It feels colder because of how warm its been but it would be AN when compared to 20+ years ago
  2. SnoSki14
    With the SE ridge building and very cold air north there will definitely be something last third of month...just don't know what
  3. SnoSki14
    This sentiment needs to be put to rest. No this is a 2020s pattern. The 80s were substantially colder and snowier than the 2020s. This is the CC era pattern
  4. SnoSki14
    We're going to see a historic drop in average snowfall for this decade across the entire Northeast. This pattern is stuck and ain't changing. A 20" average collapse is crazy.
  5. SnoSki14
    Gradient type patterns can be good if we're on the right side of it
  6. SnoSki14
    I could easily see Feb being AN temp wise, perhaps by a good margin with significantly more snow than Jan.
  7. SnoSki14
    I'll laugh if all this colds yields us less than 3" for the month.
  8. SnoSki14
    Could nab a minor event here and probably another solid event further south.
  9. SnoSki14
    80s were a lot colder with more frequent snow events This a completely different era
  10. SnoSki14
    Beyond useless and the wind just makes things extra painful. We've had way better snow patterns in torch winters
  11. SnoSki14
    Replacing this dry, cold/windy pattern with a warm one sounds great
  12. SnoSki14
    If it was a really good pattern then things would've materialized. This pattern stinks. Way too much suppression that favors DC. Too much confluent flow
  13. SnoSki14
    It's kinda cut and dry if you think about it. Will northern stream drop south in time and phase with southern disturbance or not. If it phases then boom
  14. SnoSki14
    Lol sure buddy
  15. SnoSki14
    That's a nice look from the GEFS at day 4-5
  16. SnoSki14
    Big runs tonight. If we're getting a storm we should start to see some consensus soon. The phasing is only 3 days away
  17. SnoSki14
    Maybe the amped GFS run will mean other models will come aboard tonight. Better than an OTS whiff
  18. SnoSki14
    Would be nice if the 11-12th threat could materialize otherwise we're going into late Jan with little to show for it despite BN temperatures
  19. SnoSki14
    Ensembles are showing some some ridging in the east by Jan 18-20 however it could be transient and they could be jumping the gun somewhat.
  20. SnoSki14
    From suppression to cutters. Lovely. Gotta watch the Hudson bay blocking as that has tended to trend stronger too and could hold back SE ridge
  21. SnoSki14
    Going back 5 days from current system and GFS was remarkably accurate. Every storm is different however but I do think once models get a grasp on the system that it won't change much
  22. SnoSki14
    We're seeing it with the current storm though. Yeah some models were a bit further north but they were very accurate several days out.
  23. SnoSki14
    I can't imagine the meltdowns if this ends up giving the Mid-Atlantic a monster storm and skunks everyone else
  24. SnoSki14
    In the past we would kill to be in this position this far out given inevitable NW/amped trend however with our luck this will hold as is.
  25. SnoSki14
    Delmarva will get 30+ over next week if the models are correct
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