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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    People forget how cold Decembers used to get. Even in the 2000s there were several days with highs stuck in the teens
  2. SnoSki14
    Really nice MJO signal today. Strong and amplified as it heads towards 7 end of December and January.
  3. SnoSki14
    Do like how guidance is showing a much more amplified MJO wave heading towards 7 end of December.
  4. SnoSki14
    The problem with the LR is the Pacific jet keeps knocking down any ridging that tries to form out west. Its also leading to wild run to run changes. We would have to get lucky with timing here.
  5. SnoSki14
    We've seen much bigger swings. It won't even drop below freezing. In the past we had 60s to 15-20F with single digit or colder wind chills. Look at how weak the cool down on Thursday is...most will prob get up to 40F despite very cold conditions aloft.
  6. SnoSki14
    Not with that Pacific jet. This is a warm/wet to cold/dry pattern. Looks like garbage
  7. SnoSki14
    Yeah right I'll believe it when I see it. The only thing I'm seeing is a likely end to dry conditions with fast pacific flow dominating.
  8. SnoSki14
    Nice let the trends continue. Finally a good active day
  9. SnoSki14
    Rest of December will go AN but not by a lot and they'll be several BN days mixed in. Snow prospects remain limited. Maybe an opportunity around the holidays.
  10. SnoSki14
    SNE's climate today, especially near the coast is what NYC used to be a couple decades back. They haven't been spared. CNE & NNE are in better shape because even in a warmer climate they can still get cold enough for a lot of snow. However eventually everyone will warm too much. Beyond our lifetimes hopefully
  11. SnoSki14
    It's just a repeat of the last decade. I'm not optimistic until a full scale change occurs.
  12. SnoSki14
    We used to get highs in the teens in December
  13. SnoSki14
    You get one cold week and then weeks of blowtorch. Today's winters in a nutshell
  14. SnoSki14
    Yeah wow. Some drought stricken trees could fall
  15. SnoSki14
    60s on the GFS. Love it
  16. SnoSki14
    Same ole crap, different year. Lock in that ridge And it's not like the current "cold" pattern is producing. Give me mild and dry over this any day
  17. SnoSki14
    I would put money on a strong torch period. Models getting stronger with the eastern ridging.
  18. SnoSki14
    I'm not getting my hopes up. January will be our best shot but not expecting much
  19. SnoSki14
    Wow at the lake effect snow forecast. 5+ feet for some
  20. SnoSki14
    That's why I'm hoping we can at least see intervals of +PNA/-WPO like we're currently getting. January is prob our best bet but if we're getting mixed signals then Feb may not be a typical Nina blowtorch either
  21. SnoSki14
    Doesn't look very dry. Active pattern. Storm threats will show as we get closer in
  22. SnoSki14
    Definitely without question. Highs could stay in the 30s as well
  23. SnoSki14
    MJO will still try to exert a warming influence but agree that other factors are in play too. EPS looking better than GEFS right now, less MJO influence
  24. SnoSki14
    It's going to be challenging keeping a ridge out west with the Pacific jet as strong as it is. Something like the 6z GFS Op is likely. Will be a constant battle this winter so we have to maximize our chances when the ridge out west flexes. You'd need a full scale change of the PDO for a 13-15 winter pattern sustained western ridge.
  25. SnoSki14
    They might not show up until we get closer in. 13/14 was like that We just need rains to break the dry spell first.
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