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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. If guidance showed a huge eastern trough you would say that would guarantee an eastern ridge for winter The warminista trolls have zero nuance. They are JB but for warmth.
  2. Nice blowtorch pattern coming up. Not a cool day in sight. Forky would be proud. 70s & 80s forever
  3. Going from one extreme to the next has become common.
  4. Nice blowtorch for days on end. Winter must be coming
  5. This would be very bad had it been summer
  6. MJO following the Nina playbook. Looks like MJO 7 in November which will lead to another cooler than usual November.
  7. I meant the state as whole will fare okay. Sure local hard hit communities will face issues but this won't be the disaster the media said it'd be.
  8. Turns out I was right that if Milton made landfall south of TB as a weakening hurricane, FL would do just fine...and they are. Maybe stop making everything a worst case scenario because 99% of the time it's not that.
  9. Goal posts are shifting rapidly. If temps for the past 2-3 months were compared to the 90s, 00s or even 2010s averages they would be several degrees above normal. Now when a month isn't top 5 warmest ever it's surprising.
  10. But they would be well above normal if we went by average temps in the 90s or 00s or hell even the 2010s The goal posts have shifted to such an extreme degree that it's shocking when a month isn't top 5 warmest ever.
  11. It's different now vs summer. A drought now ain't so bad.
  12. Literally trying to deny reality. Like that meme of your house being on fire and you ignoring it.
  13. Volatility is good if it continues into winter. It might gives us a chance of at least some wintry weather vs a 22/23 type winter.
  14. Wouldn't be surprised to see freezes next week with all this dry weather really helping temps tank at night
  15. Just a few wedge tornadoes, no biggie
  16. Agreed, however those impacts will be quite bad regardless.
  17. One thing that worries me is hurricanes try to avoid hitting land as long as possible and given the trajectory, a more northern landfall wouldn't surprise me. Nail biter for TB
  18. There's going to be a ton of energy once this unravels near landfall, better hope it keeps trending south.
  19. Probably due to the mostly sunny conditions and dry weather. Should see highs overperform and nights to be cooler than forecast.
  20. This is going to carry tons of water, sort of like Katrina on a smaller scale, even once it unravels near landfall. Will also get much larger than this with a few EWRCs likely Tampa better pray it goes to their south.
  21. It won't. No model shows this. Will it get uncomfortably close and have some impact, yes.
  22. It's an ugly run. Shear doesn't really get to it until very late. Track is very bad for TB.
  23. Yes but you'd go from catastrophic to pretty bad in terms of impact. Even a weakening storm that hits just north of TB would bring significant surge into the bay.
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