SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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We're going to see a historic drop in average snowfall for this decade across the entire Northeast. This pattern is stuck and ain't changing. A 20" average collapse is crazy.
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Gradient type patterns can be good if we're on the right side of it
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I could easily see Feb being AN temp wise, perhaps by a good margin with significantly more snow than Jan.
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I'll laugh if all this colds yields us less than 3" for the month.
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Could nab a minor event here and probably another solid event further south.
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80s were a lot colder with more frequent snow events This a completely different era
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Beyond useless and the wind just makes things extra painful. We've had way better snow patterns in torch winters
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Replacing this dry, cold/windy pattern with a warm one sounds great
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If it was a really good pattern then things would've materialized. This pattern stinks. Way too much suppression that favors DC. Too much confluent flow
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It's kinda cut and dry if you think about it. Will northern stream drop south in time and phase with southern disturbance or not. If it phases then boom
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Lol sure buddy
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That's a nice look from the GEFS at day 4-5
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Big runs tonight. If we're getting a storm we should start to see some consensus soon. The phasing is only 3 days away
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Maybe the amped GFS run will mean other models will come aboard tonight. Better than an OTS whiff
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Would be nice if the 11-12th threat could materialize otherwise we're going into late Jan with little to show for it despite BN temperatures
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Ensembles are showing some some ridging in the east by Jan 18-20 however it could be transient and they could be jumping the gun somewhat.
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From suppression to cutters. Lovely. Gotta watch the Hudson bay blocking as that has tended to trend stronger too and could hold back SE ridge
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Going back 5 days from current system and GFS was remarkably accurate. Every storm is different however but I do think once models get a grasp on the system that it won't change much
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We're seeing it with the current storm though. Yeah some models were a bit further north but they were very accurate several days out.
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I can't imagine the meltdowns if this ends up giving the Mid-Atlantic a monster storm and skunks everyone else
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In the past we would kill to be in this position this far out given inevitable NW/amped trend however with our luck this will hold as is.
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Delmarva will get 30+ over next week if the models are correct
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Yes that's positive to see
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At least there was follow-up from the 18z and no it's not a bad spot this far out but we want other models to show something similar
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Only a few hours until the 0z suite crushes everyone's hopes and dreams. I just don't buy it given the fast flow we've been dealing with
