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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Unfortunately I think your area is a no go. I-80 north is screwed. 1-78 will likely be northern extent. Nam shows this quite well
  2. SnoSki14
    There's probably going to be decent banding on the northern fringe with nothing north of there. Think it sets up near or just south of I78
  3. SnoSki14
    It's good for DC and southern regions
  4. SnoSki14
    I agree. Cold and dry sucks.
  5. SnoSki14
    Rare instance where SE ridge actually helps us
  6. SnoSki14
    Such an odd setup. Normally we'd torch in this scenario but confluence and TPV really keeping it cold.
  7. SnoSki14
    There's a limit to how far north this can go, confluence is very strong
  8. SnoSki14
    Very gradient look on the CFS for February. Agreed and don't forget the stronger than forecast Hudson blocking that models have missed. That could play a huge role in the back half of winter despite the Nina pattern.
  9. SnoSki14
    Honestly not a bad spot to be a few days out. Agreed that with strong high to the north this could keep trending more amped/north.
  10. SnoSki14
    Probably have a couple more days to see any north bumps. I'm hoping we can score a light event at least.
  11. SnoSki14
    Models are trying to go through miller B route. Looks like the shortwave phases some with a TPV lobe.
  12. SnoSki14
    Stop trolling. It's solidly BN.
  13. SnoSki14
    Euro could be a blip run but how everyone was dead set on a suppressed outcome when these things almost always come north was strange to me.
  14. SnoSki14
    I'll take warm/dry during winter if it's not going to snow
  15. SnoSki14
    Good for them at least. Some haven't seen snow in years Honestly if the strong NAO lasts into Feb with SE ridge popping it could be a good gradient pattern for us
  16. SnoSki14
    That would be a disaster for those places. It hasn't snowed in years for many down there
  17. SnoSki14
    That's hilarious
  18. SnoSki14
    It wouldn't take much to get a light event up here
  19. SnoSki14
    CMC bumped north. GFS looked good early on
  20. SnoSki14
    Plenty of time for things to bump north. That was always the rule in previous storms. Usually we wanted the snow zone further south days out due to these inevitable north trends.
  21. SnoSki14
    New England smoking cirrus while Southern states get smoked?
  22. SnoSki14
    It barely started lol. Why don't we actually wait til 1/15 instead of chasing day 7+ op runs.
  23. SnoSki14
    DC south could do really well in this pattern.
  24. SnoSki14
    If models are underestimating the Atlantic blocking like they've been doing then that may not play out. Could end up shunting SE ridge further south setting up a potential gradient pattern.
  25. SnoSki14
    I wouldn't give up yet. GEFS/EPS been trending with less confluence and more amplification. Still several days to go
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