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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    There's a chance Debby could be stronger in its Carolinas landfall
  2. SnoSki14
    GFS starting to align with other models, no longer stalls down south
  3. SnoSki14
    It's not dry air, it's the broad circulation. No models had it being much more than a Cat 1. Not every hurricane is going to blow past intensity forecasts.
  4. SnoSki14
    And this is the driest model
  5. SnoSki14
    Last 3 days delivered rains here. GFS seems out to lunch with Debby, most models bring it up the coast
  6. SnoSki14
    Subtle trends east with CMC/GFS
  7. SnoSki14
    That doesn't mean we won't get heavy rains here. CMC/GFS still shows heavy amounts east Then you have Icon to the east
  8. SnoSki14
    Good lord at the flooding potential over GA/SC. 30"+ amounts possible
  9. SnoSki14
    Yesterday a lot of places picked up nearly an inch or more. Now we're getting tropical influences too. Ensembles are extremely wet for 1st half of August. It's going to rain a lot.
  10. SnoSki14
    This is why flooding is so rampant. Just wait til the tropics get involved
  11. SnoSki14
    Not really, every summer will be like this and hotter from now on. This will be considered a cool summer a decade from now.
  12. SnoSki14
    The dry spell will end in a hurry.
  13. SnoSki14
    As long as it doesn't get stuck down south this could deliver some serious tropical rains up here Ensembles are very wet for us
  14. SnoSki14
    Yeah not the most organized. Maybe things will ramp up as it gets closer
  15. SnoSki14
    When did it leave? Models have low to mid 90s over the next several days.
  16. SnoSki14
    A precursor to the tropics later?
  17. SnoSki14
    Whoever still thinks this isn't a top 2-3 hottest summers is fooling themselves. It's probably hottest once you factor the humidity
  18. SnoSki14
    Not much in Somerset. Misses all around. Oh well
  19. SnoSki14
    Nice winds ahead of it but mostly showers Meh
  20. SnoSki14
    The atmosphere is strongly Nina coupled though so it won't be long before things get wild. Wind shear is very low throughout and ssts remains near record highs. Once SAL diminishes and MJO becomes more favorable it'll be off to the races
  21. SnoSki14
    Boo another miss My old place in Sayreville is getting crushed Got clipped by the tail end and had a nice 10 minute downpour
  22. SnoSki14
    It's only a matter of time before we challenge those records. We're getting 604dm ridges in the Atlantic now.
  23. SnoSki14
    Hottest real feel temps possible? Imagine 100F with 80 dews
  24. SnoSki14
    Huge. Congrats out east Best bet now is late Wednesday with string front coming through. HRRR was dry at least
  25. SnoSki14
    Yeah this sucked. At least it's cooler
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