
SnoSki14
Members-
Posts
15,183 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by SnoSki14
-
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
SnoSki14 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
Nah I'm not concerned about that at all -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
It's getting late in the season where the PNA loses its influence. -PNA is actually good in March. -
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
SnoSki14 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
Seeing the usually amped up Rgem & Nam south is a good sign. Snowman loves his weenies lol -
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
SnoSki14 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
It's going to snow -
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
SnoSki14 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
This is not going to trend north sorry. I think we'll see a significant snow event. -
Science doesn't care what you think. If people want to live in a fantasy world where everything is great then they can do so but the world will be affected either way. And as far as fires go, humans may trigger them but droughts and high temperatures will exacerbate them.
-
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
SnoSki14 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
As long as it doesn't get sheared out then parts of the region could do well. An amplifying storm and the squeeze play with confluence could yield some high totals otherwise. -
2C is the tipping point but you'd be a fool to think horrific events already hadn't transpired. Billions in damages, millions of acres burned, catastrophic flooding & fires, devastating heat waves, crawl out from under your rock.
-
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
SnoSki14 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
It's really not that bad. Cold air rapidly filters in as this phases. How much phasing occurs is key. A weaker storm won't help. -
Because you said so lol
-
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
SnoSki14 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
I would love for this to be a snow bomb just to humiliate his weenie behind -
Mid-Atlantic is probably a more favored region than New England in a Nino blocking regime. NAO won't be particularly strong though so we should avoid Feb 2010 type suppression.
-
EPS had higher heights out west near the Rockies by Feb 15th. Hopefully that continues We should see opportunities from mid Feb through mid March. No guarantees of course but greater chances than usual.
-
I don't either. Confluence is strengthening on ensembles. And no amount of weenies by snowman will change that Problem is it's still a marginal setup. Amped solutions represent some phasing which is needed to bring cold air down. We could end up with a less dynamic system to our south that still ends up being rain.
-
South trend is more likely. AO is tanking
-
Lol yeah no. For climate change deniers the whole world could literally be on fire and they'll look the other way. There's no new low they won't sink too. A lot of these rich folks already have bunkers ready.
-
I mean I'm not getting my hopes up. Not really feeling the coming pattern either. Pacific still looks crappy to me. Really lacking a classic Rockies/Western ridge to deliver the goods here. Its been years since we've seen that. March probably has better odds to deliver as a poor Pacific is less of a detriment by then.
-
Funny enough a more southern track is probably more likely.
-
The AO will have been quite negative for a while by then though. And it's almost impossible for every variable to work in our favor.
-
You really need a strong, dynamic system for the 13th as airmass is not very good but there is some potential. Northern stream needs to get more involved
-
The 13th system has legitimacy but it's marginal and could be suppressed. Too early to tell. Almost looks like an early spring type bowling ball that blows up quickly. Fast mover that may drop a foot on someone.
-
This aligns really well with raindancewx stormy March forecast. Really don't want to wait that long though. March 2018 was great but climo still worked against us near the coast. Even a 1-2 weeks of snow potential earlier than March 2018 is better for us so hopefully late Feb into 1st week of March we score.