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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Not with that confluence up north. This either produces further south or ends up getting shredded completely.
  2. SnoSki14
    Confluence trends don't typically just stop once they start. More south shifts are possible.
  3. SnoSki14
    2C is the tipping point but you'd be a fool to think horrific events already hadn't transpired. Billions in damages, millions of acres burned, catastrophic flooding & fires, devastating heat waves, crawl out from under your rock.
  4. SnoSki14
    It's really not that bad. Cold air rapidly filters in as this phases. How much phasing occurs is key. A weaker storm won't help.
  5. SnoSki14
    Because you said so lol
  6. SnoSki14
    I would love for this to be a snow bomb just to humiliate his weenie behind
  7. SnoSki14
    Mid-Atlantic is probably a more favored region than New England in a Nino blocking regime. NAO won't be particularly strong though so we should avoid Feb 2010 type suppression.
  8. SnoSki14
    EPS had higher heights out west near the Rockies by Feb 15th. Hopefully that continues We should see opportunities from mid Feb through mid March. No guarantees of course but greater chances than usual.
  9. SnoSki14
    I don't either. Confluence is strengthening on ensembles. And no amount of weenies by snowman will change that Problem is it's still a marginal setup. Amped solutions represent some phasing which is needed to bring cold air down. We could end up with a less dynamic system to our south that still ends up being rain.
  10. SnoSki14
    South trend is more likely. AO is tanking
  11. SnoSki14
    I think a south trend is likely here. That AO is tanking
  12. SnoSki14
    Lol yeah no. For climate change deniers the whole world could literally be on fire and they'll look the other way. There's no new low they won't sink too. A lot of these rich folks already have bunkers ready.
  13. SnoSki14
    I mean I'm not getting my hopes up. Not really feeling the coming pattern either. Pacific still looks crappy to me. Really lacking a classic Rockies/Western ridge to deliver the goods here. Its been years since we've seen that. March probably has better odds to deliver as a poor Pacific is less of a detriment by then.
  14. SnoSki14
    Funny enough a more southern track is probably more likely.
  15. SnoSki14
    The AO will have been quite negative for a while by then though. And it's almost impossible for every variable to work in our favor.
  16. SnoSki14
    You really need a strong, dynamic system for the 13th as airmass is not very good but there is some potential. Northern stream needs to get more involved
  17. SnoSki14
    The 13th system has legitimacy but it's marginal and could be suppressed. Too early to tell. Almost looks like an early spring type bowling ball that blows up quickly. Fast mover that may drop a foot on someone.
  18. SnoSki14
    This aligns really well with raindancewx stormy March forecast. Really don't want to wait that long though. March 2018 was great but climo still worked against us near the coast. Even a 1-2 weeks of snow potential earlier than March 2018 is better for us so hopefully late Feb into 1st week of March we score.
  19. SnoSki14
    This is a 9 day prog on an op run. I wouldn't worry about it too much.
  20. SnoSki14
    Care to post the 0z now?
  21. SnoSki14
    Last time I remember him honking this hard, March 2018 happened. But having it happen 2-3 weeks earlier makes a big difference climo wise for us.
  22. SnoSki14
    Wouldn't be surprised to see the biggest snow event this season in March if the mid Feb pattern rolls forward. A trough in the SW has less of an effect on us in late winter due to changing wavelengths. I also hope that doesn't happen, I don't care about March snows unless it's a KU system so Feb 15-29 is it for me. Put up or shut up.
  23. SnoSki14
    At this point it's nothing but a snooze fest and I don't care what happens anymore.
  24. SnoSki14
    Snowman really hates that it could snow. Everything I've ever seen from him has been anti-winter. Now he thinks they'll be suppression. So far this Nino has produced one of the wettest Dec-Jan periods for us and he thinks they'll be suppression. Delusional thinking
  25. SnoSki14
    I think this summer is going to be brutal for a lot of people and I predict one of the most damaging hurricane seasons ever. The MDR is cooking right now and we might shift to Cool ENSO by the summer. A deadly combination
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