
SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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It's going to snow trust me. At least 3-6, maybe more. Don't care what Euro shows right now.
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This is accurate. Also you don't need a strong low to get a lot of precip.
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I am very concerned about the coming hurricane season. Early thoughts are that it will be the most devastating season yet.
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It's going to snow. Just wait til Friday's storm is out of the way. 2 possible snow events likely before mild up followed by more threats in February.
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Mega ridge, 100 degrees likely
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This will take a toll on beaches, rivers, trees, etc. Everything is completely saturated.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
If we see squalls on Tuesday night that are able to mix down winds aloft then wow. Nam showing ridiculous gust potential well inland. 3K is even crazier.- 3,610 replies
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That system may be even more powerful than Tuesday's storm
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Coastal flooding will be a big concern- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The LLJ is extremely powerful and the Nam is essentially a big squall line so I expect thunder. Winds aloft are extremely powerful and I could see gusts that high pending mixing.- 3,610 replies
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That's been the reality since 2015 though.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Is that what 1-2 indicates then?- 3,610 replies
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I just think that's what raindancewx was focusing on. Also there's no guarantee the Jan 15-22 period will produce, and if it doesn't, then it won't til February.
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Yes but big cities remain mild and mostly snow free. Even Boston got skunked.
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Slim chance the 13th system trends more favorably.
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Take into account the MJO lag of about a week puts Jan 15-23 in a favorable period with an unfavorable period right after until MJO gets into more positive phases.
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Nam looking quite wild with wind gusts for Tuesday.
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And now it's leading to these powerful rainy cutters which are becoming increasingly concerning given recent rains. Very strong winds with saturated ground ain't good either. And finally we'll likely see significant coastal flooding too with new moon nearby.
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Which is why the Euro cutting everything has merit still. Very Nina like pattern energized by Nino storminess.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I'm guessing this would exacerbate the flooding with the next system (those that got 6"+ today)- 3,610 replies
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It's a smoothed out mean though. Not a fan of the coast to coast troughing. Would like to see some ridging out west.
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How about 3. Euro OP would suck big time.
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Strong potential in that timeframe. EPS was very impressive
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
You can't plow rain.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I could actually see a positive bust for the fringe zones.- 3,610 replies
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