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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Last chance. Any pushback and it's a wrap.
  2. SnoSki14
    Sorry it's not as warm as when the Earth first formed.
  3. SnoSki14
    Would be a real shock for everyone that thinks winter is done However 82-83 is a top analog and that had one big storm, PDI
  4. SnoSki14
    I feel like I haven't seen the sun in forever
  5. SnoSki14
    I mean the rate of warming is undeniable. It's also becoming normalized. People thought December wasn't that warm because it wasn't like 2015. Ok but it was still #2-3 all time. Sorry it didn't have +15 departures
  6. SnoSki14
    It's scary how normalized this has become. I feel like summer is a ticking time bomb for us.
  7. SnoSki14
    If that's even the case
  8. SnoSki14
    Feb 4-5 looks more interesting than I thought. It's worth keeping an eye on. There's definitely likely to be a southern stream storm but the evolution up here is what will be tricky to figure out. Of course it also wouldn't shock me if the Carolinas or even further south ended up getting more snow than us so far with that system.
  9. SnoSki14
    Really unorthodox setup next week. Not sure how that's gonna play out. Funky setup nonetheless
  10. SnoSki14
    Troll, don't feed
  11. SnoSki14
    They probably have better odds of seeing snow than you do in the coming pattern. 72-73 was one of the analogs for this winter
  12. SnoSki14
    2 weeks go out to Feb 10. There's a rain event this weekend and not much else afterwards. So I'm not wrong
  13. SnoSki14
    The definition of a blah, boring pattern next 2 weeks. Temps a bit above normal, a lot of cloudy, murky days, very early March like which sucks.
  14. SnoSki14
    2nd half of Feb is definitely workable.
  15. SnoSki14
    Yes we get it lol
  16. SnoSki14
    Not surprised to see models back off the torch for the northeast to start Feb. MJO 6/7 is not warm for us in a Nino for Feb. 7 is actually a colder signal. Still think we average slightly above normal but no 60s & 70s like some thought. Even 50s may be difficult
  17. SnoSki14
    Airmass is very poor. You'd need a strong dynamic system to pull in colder air. Maybe a rain/snow mix towards the end, no accumulation
  18. SnoSki14
    Oh wow a few barely below normal months against the warmest 30 year averages vs an infinite number of top 5-10 warmest months over past decade You really got us with that one.
  19. SnoSki14
    We're just slowly roasting in that pot until it's too late
  20. SnoSki14
    Euro is overdoing it. I don't see a strong cutter that will generate this kind of warmth. GFS will win out imo
  21. SnoSki14
    What a dreary week coming up.
  22. SnoSki14
    Works for me. If it's not going to snow I prefer mild weather. Unfortunately it looks like we'll have some rain/clouds with it though. GFS does keep us on the colder side of the gradient though
  23. SnoSki14
    We'll get opportunities for sure. I still think we could get at least one KU style storm a la 82/83 this winter. Watching end of Jan with that PNA spike and then mid Feb with Nino climo + potential blocking setting up. +PNA should be transient but ensembles have been trending more amplified with it which should cause more cold air in the east. March is a wild card but could be active.
  24. SnoSki14
    Significant PNA spike to end January prior to a warmer pattern. I could see a storm there.
  25. SnoSki14
    I'm not sure. I actually think models could waffle quite rapidly over next few days. MJO wreaking havoc at the moment.
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