
SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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I buy that. Then things probably get more hostile until February. MJO looks to swing through.
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For the 13-14th system?
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
If CMC is right then not good- 3,610 replies
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West is where it's at. Been that way for several years now. But we'll get a chance eventually
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Pattern has been anything but dry and that won't change.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That storm next week is a beast. Models are actually trending stronger with it. Euro gets down into the 960s with a very strong pressure gradient. I'm thinking 3"+ widespread totals, 60mph+ gusts and possibly major coastal flooding for some due to New Moon. Impacts will be worse due to all the rain we've had.- 3,610 replies
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I'm on board for a favorable late Jan and Feb. Plenty of arctic blocking, Pacific gets better, Nino climo. It's a long waiting game but we'll reap the rewards eventually.
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Could be a good period after that. Targeting latter Jan & Feb. Lots of potential I think. Snowman19 is an idiot btw
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High risk of coastal flooding with new moon. Grounds still saturated from all the rains last month.
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It's not just about snow. I love weather. I'm much more interested in the system next week. Very powerful system likely.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Look on the bright side. Any snow they get will be gone in 2 days. In fact bad flooding possible for them with that 10th system- 3,610 replies
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What chance lol? Scratch that there's a good chance of a flooding rainstorm on the 10th. CMC went wild
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Pattern sucks going forward. Big east based NAO linking up with SE as major trough dogs west. Aka the same crap we've seen for years now. Close the shades
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Tried to warn you- 3,610 replies
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It's just no good right now. It doesn't take much to correct warmer for us. 0z EPS did that already. There's just too much troughiness out west. Some people never learn.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Bluewave is just telling it like it is. I know many don't want to hear it but the airmass is definitely marginal. He's just illustrating the challenges. I would honestly be surprised to see much for the coast.- 3,610 replies
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I'm not a fan of this pattern. You still have very deep troughing out west which can easily overwhelm any -NAO/AO pattern. I think it's a waiting game until February when Pacific improves.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
GFS looked like crap though. Not enough dynamics to overcome warm surface temps.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I'm guessing the inland track is your thinking with this.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
We'll break our streak one way or another. February could be very wintry imo. Anything this month will be a bonus- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Not sure you'd want a snowstorm given the major cutter behind it. With all the rain we've had that's a recipe for flooding disaster. Snow beforehand would only increase the threat.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah this is a rainstorm. Keep the shades closed for the coast til February.- 3,610 replies
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