
SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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We're just slowly roasting in that pot until it's too late
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Euro is overdoing it. I don't see a strong cutter that will generate this kind of warmth. GFS will win out imo
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What a dreary week coming up.
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Works for me. If it's not going to snow I prefer mild weather. Unfortunately it looks like we'll have some rain/clouds with it though. GFS does keep us on the colder side of the gradient though
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We'll get opportunities for sure. I still think we could get at least one KU style storm a la 82/83 this winter. Watching end of Jan with that PNA spike and then mid Feb with Nino climo + potential blocking setting up. +PNA should be transient but ensembles have been trending more amplified with it which should cause more cold air in the east. March is a wild card but could be active.
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Significant PNA spike to end January prior to a warmer pattern. I could see a storm there.
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I'm not sure. I actually think models could waffle quite rapidly over next few days. MJO wreaking havoc at the moment.
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Winter '23-'24 Will Be A Lesson In Relativity
SnoSki14 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
This is not a typical Nino response. We might get skunked again -
Phase 6/7 +ENSO is not that warm for us. It's no surprise how muted the warmup looks on the GFS. A lot of eastern Canada highs scooting east, even leaves open ice threats around here.
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MJO is concerning regarding February. Hopefully they're being too slow with it again. MJO 7 is better than 6 which is why EPS looks a lot better than GEFS right now. I do think February will still be good but the best could hold off until week 2-3. March could also be unusually snowy & active too. A lot of central/east strong Ninos has snows late. And in the -PDO era March looks better as wavelengths change.
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We used to get teens for highs
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So how's that Mid-Atlantic snowstorm coming along? And we don't live high up. Surface temps will be a lot colder than you think.
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This storm is definitely happening because we're torching not long afterwards.
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Much stronger event likely Friday. This is like an appetizer
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To sum things up we get 2 snow events coming up followed by a warm-up as MJO swings through warm phases and then we get a classic Nino February. February will rock imo.
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How are you missing the complete pattern shift out west. Look what happens after the warm up.
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You're a moron. Massive changes to the Pacific over last week of January. Huge snow/cold signal for February
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Pacific pattern finally changed by February. You can really see it on the EPS. Game on for February
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It's going to snow, stop model hugging ya weenies.
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