
SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
This is a 9 day prog on an op run. I wouldn't worry about it too much. -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Care to post the 0z now? -
Last time I remember him honking this hard, March 2018 happened. But having it happen 2-3 weeks earlier makes a big difference climo wise for us.
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Wouldn't be surprised to see the biggest snow event this season in March if the mid Feb pattern rolls forward. A trough in the SW has less of an effect on us in late winter due to changing wavelengths. I also hope that doesn't happen, I don't care about March snows unless it's a KU system so Feb 15-29 is it for me. Put up or shut up.
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At this point it's nothing but a snooze fest and I don't care what happens anymore.
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Snowman really hates that it could snow. Everything I've ever seen from him has been anti-winter. Now he thinks they'll be suppression. So far this Nino has produced one of the wettest Dec-Jan periods for us and he thinks they'll be suppression. Delusional thinking
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I think this summer is going to be brutal for a lot of people and I predict one of the most damaging hurricane seasons ever. The MDR is cooking right now and we might shift to Cool ENSO by the summer. A deadly combination -
Last chance. Any pushback and it's a wrap.
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Sorry it's not as warm as when the Earth first formed.
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Would be a real shock for everyone that thinks winter is done However 82-83 is a top analog and that had one big storm, PDI
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I feel like I haven't seen the sun in forever
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I mean the rate of warming is undeniable. It's also becoming normalized. People thought December wasn't that warm because it wasn't like 2015. Ok but it was still #2-3 all time. Sorry it didn't have +15 departures -
It's scary how normalized this has become. I feel like summer is a ticking time bomb for us.
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If that's even the case
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Feb 4-5 looks more interesting than I thought. It's worth keeping an eye on. There's definitely likely to be a southern stream storm but the evolution up here is what will be tricky to figure out. Of course it also wouldn't shock me if the Carolinas or even further south ended up getting more snow than us so far with that system.
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Really unorthodox setup next week. Not sure how that's gonna play out. Funky setup nonetheless -
Troll, don't feed
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
They probably have better odds of seeing snow than you do in the coming pattern. 72-73 was one of the analogs for this winter -
2 weeks go out to Feb 10. There's a rain event this weekend and not much else afterwards. So I'm not wrong
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The definition of a blah, boring pattern next 2 weeks. Temps a bit above normal, a lot of cloudy, murky days, very early March like which sucks.
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2nd half of Feb is definitely workable.
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Not surprised to see models back off the torch for the northeast to start Feb. MJO 6/7 is not warm for us in a Nino for Feb. 7 is actually a colder signal. Still think we average slightly above normal but no 60s & 70s like some thought. Even 50s may be difficult
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Airmass is very poor. You'd need a strong dynamic system to pull in colder air. Maybe a rain/snow mix towards the end, no accumulation
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Oh wow a few barely below normal months against the warmest 30 year averages vs an infinite number of top 5-10 warmest months over past decade You really got us with that one.