SnoSki14
-
Posts
15,183 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by SnoSki14
-
I agree here. One storm at a time. I'm just focusing on tonight into tomorrow morning first to see what happens. Colder/snowier outcome would probably lead to the same for next system.
-
One storm at a time. Next week will change a lot
-
Which is probably not great. We want a strong thump. Weaker precip won't help
-
SE ridge linking with blocking on Euro...same ole song and dance. My 2-4" by the 20th is looking great Actually think there's a good window late Feb into 1st week of March. Blocking gets situated and less western troughiness
-
I wouldn't be surprised if we ended up in a screw zone with systems prior to Feb 10 being north of us and post 10th south of us.
-
No. This will be from Feb 5-20
-
Sure we'll see what happens between now and Feb 20. My prediction is 2-4" total for NYC south
-
Just think we get mostly slop. Models trended stronger with SE ridge for the 11-13th too hence the snow/mix to rain the Euro shows. This is a SNE snow pattern to me and I'll stand by it
-
Watch us end up with 2" tops. GFS is on crack
-
It's very early but think the 12-13th has the best potential to deliver something of substance aka more than 1-2" of slop.
-
Best case scenario that we could hope for.
-
Not necessarily. The SE ridge will keep fighting back as it does in Nina Febs. We could use some luck with where the gradient sets up.
-
A slopfest is possible for sure. Better chance for more frozen with the 9th system however only a slight north trend would lead to mainly rain
-
Yup we're kicking that can. That's why we can't buy into colorful maps.
-
So far I'm seeing a bunch of pretty maps and no results. We'll see what happens in a few weeks. I continue to believe the boundary ends up further north. Great pattern for SNE points north.
-
Watch us end up in a screw zone with earlier systems targeting SNE & north and mid Feb systems favoring southern areas due to TPV suppression. That's kind of what the Euro shows
-
There's definitely some promising developments but we need to see actual hits. Day 10+ maps are pretty to look at but we need results. So focus on one system at a time. Looking to see if we can score anything tonight and then midweek.
-
GEFS with much stronger Arctic blocking The window is after next weekend if anything is going to happen of consequence
-
CMC on the other hand is looking better. We'll see which way the Euro trends.
-
Oh it will don't worry. Zero expectations this month. GFS OP looking less favorable already too
-
Looks like a lot of slop before a potentially more favorable snow window in mid Feb. Euro with the passage into MJO 8 shows why it's better with the blocking
-
Yeah it actually doesn't look cold/dry once blocking gets going. It would still be nice to score something before mid Feb though
-
It ends with massive arctic and Greenland blocking sending arctic air into the US lol
-
I think this system is a good test for the following one. Let's see if the TPV causes a more southern press than currently depicted. If it does then the 9th would likely trend in that direction.
