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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Lots of thunder from that Chevy Chase cell now. Getting the northern fringes of it now in Colesville. PWS showing a ton of lightning strikes in past 5-10 mins.
  2. Kmlwx
    Just the other day didn't Potomac get hit pretty hard?
  3. Kmlwx
    The MoCo cell looks like it's losing intensity.
  4. Kmlwx
    Interesting that the storm is also warned for hail - on a day that was supposed to have very little hail risk!
  5. Kmlwx
    DCAPE is really lacking for most of us. Lots of CAPE though.
  6. Kmlwx
    13z HRRR bullseyes DC proper.
  7. Kmlwx
    Ditto. 76 in Colesville, MD as well.
  8. Kmlwx
    10z HRRR initiates stuff around 2pm locally. ETA: More like 1pm a little cell is already W of DC on the Potomac.
  9. Kmlwx
    Think the biggest thing with this heat wave is that the dewpoints never really mixed out - seems on our 100+ days the dews come down just a bit on the downsloping. My dewpoint has been 70 or higher all day with no signs of dropping. High of 94.5 on the PWS which is still nasty with the humidity...but it's tougher to hit the century mark without that help.
  10. Kmlwx
    Wavering between 91-94 depending on amount of sun it seems like. Dewpoint wavering around 70-73. Heat index right in the 100 range.
  11. Kmlwx
    93ish/71. Dewpoint is bouncing around a bit on my PWS. Heat index sitting right around 100.
  12. Kmlwx
    My temperature has actually RISEN behind the outflow...
  13. Kmlwx
    Nice consolation prize outflow. One of the more impressive outflows I can remember. As for the storms...looks like it's going about as advertised. Really losing any semblance of a line or storms as the activity comes east.
  14. Kmlwx
    Definitely had some punch here in Colesville. Could hear the wind starting to go through the trees as it approached. Given how far we are from the dying storms - I'm pretty impressed with that boundary. Nothing severe - but it put a ton of leaves into the air here.
  15. Kmlwx
    Also - a lot of the activity to the west of the VA/WV border is likely being aided by terrain. Not sure any of that would exist if the higher elevations weren't there.
  16. Kmlwx
    Think our only hope will be if a good enough push of rain cooled air from those storms pushes east and kicks off something closer. If I wasn't a weather enthusiast and looked at this radar - I'd be expecting a pummeling tonight.
  17. Kmlwx
    The 18z NAM nest at the 20z frame looks comically different versus reality.
  18. Kmlwx
    19z HRRR is a big tease. Kills precip right before it gets to me (and appears to be sub severe well before then). Radar looks really deceivingly good, though to the west.
  19. Kmlwx
    Additionally, the record high stats at BWI are such that only 3 days have record maxes below 100. And honestly...even though these are the "new" normals from the new period...we are getting hotter (everyone agrees except for a few). Would anticipate that by the time the next refresh of the "30 year average" data BWI will look more like DCA and DCA will look more like an oven.
  20. Kmlwx
    We are in the climatologically hottest part of the year. BWIs peak average temp is 89 and runs from July 2-26. You are statistically the most likely to have big heat in that period.
  21. Kmlwx
    Radar is starting to have that flood threat kind of look with little cells continuing to pop up behind the outflow boundary.
  22. Kmlwx
    Outflow is really outrunning the storms now. Well into MoCo (almost to Rockville even).
  23. Kmlwx
    Fringed.
  24. Kmlwx
    It's for the urban areas mainly that have seen pockets of very heavy rainfall lately and are very prone to runoff. A quick 1 to 3 inches of rain from a progressive storm will still cause pockets of urban flooding. It's not for major river flooding in this case.
  25. Kmlwx
    Girlfriend got some great pics of the storms as we were driving east on 200 and 32 a little while ago. Will post later
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