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Kmlwx

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  1. Kmlwx
    I've mentioned this before - and my sample size is pretty small/anecdotal - but that trajectory of that "bow" feature on the 6z NAM nest is "classic" - for whatever reason...in many of my memorable damaging wind events (from storms, that is), the highest velocity pixels start at or around Winchester and then rake through the metro area. That simulated reflectivity progression is a pretty classic track. I suspect the reason we anecdotally see that as a "favored" track is because the WNW to ESE trajectory just matches severe weather squall lines well. Nonetheless, it has me interested.
  2. Kmlwx
    Many of the EPS tracks hook it back into the coast.
  3. Kmlwx
    Yeah - I hate making waves on the forums - glad we are cool. In the end I totally get what you are saying - and it's a legit argument for sure. I myself never hope that any harm comes to anyone - in fact, I would love to see a day when lead times are so good for tornadoes and such that there is only a tiny risk of death.
  4. Kmlwx
    I guess another question I'd bring up is what are your thoughts then on our beloved Josh Morgerman? He's built a career on destructive/deadly weather events...however, he is furthering the field with his data/experience. He literally tries to place himself in the direct path of some of the most dangerous storms on Earth.
  5. Kmlwx
    Moving to banter @IronTy - I don't think anybody is saying "hell yeah watch those mofos die in historic storm surge" But if a hurricane is moving - it's going to move based on weather/physics - we have no control over this (that I know of, yet). We will track it with enthusiasm - and some portion of us want to witness it for ourselves. While I don't *WISH* for it - if Yellowstone ever blows, I will of course watch it with intense interest as no human alive has ever seen that before.
  6. Kmlwx
    Last post before I go back to lurk mode - A 4" snowstorm can cause a person to have a heart attack and die. That's tragic too...I know not on the scale of hundreds of thousands impacted - but literally EVERY type of weather (high heat included of course) can cause tragedy. Are we going to now crack down on @Eskimo Joe for saying "Go big or go home" when it comes to heat waves? I personally don't that that me being interested in tracking weather is going to cause a hurricane to magically swerve and kill people. But that's just me. Without interest in Earth science/weather/people like weather enthusiasts - we wouldn't be where we are today in terms of advancing forecast capabilities. Some of the best meteorology folks out there were brought into the profession/hobby by deadly weather events.
  7. Kmlwx
    This is a discussion for banter, though. So I will shut up now.
  8. Kmlwx
    Actually I would 100% be doing this. For two reasons - to be real-time tracking the danger that is about to impact me (I enjoy elements of emergency management as well). I volunteer with MC Park Police here, interned in the past with MoCo Police and considered doing EM as my major at one point. The 2nd reason would be my interest in weather. I'd have Radarscope in my hand while my house was scraped off the face of the Earth. At that point, what can I do to prevent it? Nothing? If I've gotten my family to shelter and have tried my best to protect them - nature is going to be nature. Yes it can be tragic - but without people interested in the science and awe of it - forecasts wouldn't be improving.
  9. Kmlwx
    I think you missed the point of my post entirely. Which is fine - perhaps I was not clear enough. We are (I assume) weather enthusiasts. I know some folks here are here for just snow and that's all. But how interesting is it to track Sunny, 75 degree weather...if I'm being honest that's not being a "weather enthusiast" I personally am fascinated by ALL weather (not just snow). Synoptic wind events, severe storms, snow storms, hurricanes, the works. I know I rarely say this (all in jest @Maestrobjwa) but this is a time when I totally think @Maestrobjwa hit the nail on the head.
  10. Kmlwx
    Another year - and another "ethical" argument. We don't control the weather - but if there must be exciting weather we will track it as any weather enthusiast would. I don't *hope* for a EF-5 tornado to hit my house - but dangit I'm going to track it with awe if it comes my way.
  11. Kmlwx
    Not that it matters this far out - but the wind gust product is pretty garden variety. But again - it's fantasy land lol
  12. Kmlwx
    12z GFS run would likely be a tornado producing track for us .
  13. Kmlwx
    Unacceptable. I want my major hurricane over MBY.
  14. Kmlwx
  15. Kmlwx
    Didn't want to deal with the hassle of the shuttling from FedEx Field to ADW - so was torn on even going to try to see the air show at all. We decided on a whim to head to a strip mall by the base and managed to time our arrival right when some of the jets were starting their maneuvers. Had a blast!
  16. Kmlwx
    It's far away from TBWI, but MoCo activity seems to have some broad spin at higher levels.
  17. Kmlwx
    Seeing some shear contours on Radarscope on the MoCo cell. Not sure how accurate those are.
  18. Kmlwx
    Yeah some of these cells have the mini supercell look.
  19. Kmlwx
    Don't forget November pencil thin gusty shower season. Though with the right negative tilt trough we can perform... There was a day in November 2006 like that I believe.
  20. Kmlwx
    Been at a wedding all weekend and haven't been following anything. Was surprised to see the severe thread with posts!
  21. Kmlwx
    It blows my mind every time. I just saw your post this morning and I'm scrolling through the map. Thanks for sharing! Amazing that you can see little lumps where houses are and stuff.
  22. Kmlwx
    Good gusts with the outflow in Colesville, MD
  23. Kmlwx
    Formidable outflow rushing out ahead of the storms now.
  24. Kmlwx
    May have missed a post elsewhere - but is there an ETA on when the TIAD radar will be back up and running?
  25. Kmlwx
    Funny that the one to the NE got a 20% and we got a 5% - our radar looks better IMO.
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