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Kmlwx

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  1. Kmlwx
    Imagine the better data across the board if they got funding/approval for either 4x daily balloon launches at all sites and/or added more dense balloon release locations. The cost cannot be that high compared to some of the other stuff our country spends on. Somebody should sneak it into part of the defense budget...it would have benefits for the military as well for all sorts of applications. Between balloons and phased-array radars...gotta get smart with dual/multi-use of stuff like this. Weather impacts everyone and everything...
  2. Kmlwx
    I am not sure I would go that far at all. They were warning the storms left and right. SPC didn't coordinate a Tornado Watch due to expected overall low coverage. However, given the risk, the smarter move could have been to issue a small watch given the major metro area. HOWEVER, flip side is that if they issued a watch and no storms formed or only weak ones...false alarm fatigue. I would hope that the warnings did their job. Wouldn't call it a "huge fail" by the weather service but that's just my two cents. Very easy to judge after the fact.
  3. Kmlwx
    The answer that is likely going to come from this is going to be low spatial coverage overall. High impact because of the location it went through (major metropolitan region) - but overall coverage was why they didn't issue a watch. Whether it's right or wrong - that's the reasoning. Consider the STW just a handful of days ago when almost no storm activity occurred at all. Tough job to be an SPC/NWS forecaster.
  4. Kmlwx
    There were hints of this on some runs of the NAM nest yesterday as well. I should not have written off some of the model soundings that popped on a few runs as early as yesterday. Wow.
  5. Kmlwx
    Just need the pesky lower ones east of the BR to burn off. Still early. I think we'll get some decent storms today - maybe not super severe of course...but storms.
  6. Kmlwx
    Clouds...
  7. Kmlwx
    From a flooding standpoint - June 2006 was *extremely* impressive - especially given the absence of a tropical system interacting with a front.
  8. Kmlwx
    Well certainly not for severe - but sometimes we can get a strong(ish) round and then some follow-up heavy rainers that keep dropping rainfall.
  9. Kmlwx
    I'm interested in today despite it being a marginal threat. Some of the CAMs have rolled some fairly impressive sim radar returns over the metro area later on. Might even be more than one round of storms for some!
  10. Kmlwx
    The 0z NAM nest kind of goes a little crazy over the metro area tomorrow afternoon lol
  11. Kmlwx
    Loving these cool mornings! Low of 47.7
  12. Kmlwx
    CIPS has a signal at around day 7/8
  13. Kmlwx
    Impressive to see SPC already honking about it potentially. We'll see how things shake out as we get beyond this stretch of beautiful weather. Loving the lower humidity.
  14. Kmlwx
    I think overall coverage might be better than the past two days. But severity is likely to be less than Monday. CAMs look pretty good!
  15. Kmlwx
    In typical Kmlwx fashion...I'm already hunting our next window. CIPS has a bit of a signal at the 240hr frame (day 10). That's probably the next chance for anything. For now it seems we'll be lower humidity and a lot more stable for the time being. Not complaining as long as we can keep the 68-70+ dewpoints away. It can get humid...but only if we cash in with woo storms.
  16. Kmlwx
    Dewpoint behind the storms is down by around 7-8 degrees. Temp down to 66 degrees (off the high of 78.9). Can't wait for the 50s dewpoints (40s even!).
  17. Kmlwx
    Enjoy the storms - it's possible we go on a run of not much excitement.
  18. Kmlwx
    I think it's one of those pseudo-hooks we've seen before.
  19. Kmlwx
    The higher scans of the Great Falls cell have a hook - but not sure it's legit.
  20. Kmlwx
    MoCo cell N of Wolf Trap has had some occasional interesting velocity but it keeps going away. Showing up on the TBWI scans a bit.
  21. Kmlwx
    Maybe a bit of a downburst signal NE of the Sterling radar?
  22. Kmlwx
    My phones have tended to not get STWs but they do get Flood Warnings and Tornado Warnings.
  23. Kmlwx
    Okay here we go - it's going to try to cycle up. ProbSevere going up steadily now and uptick in lightning. Velocity scans actually look semi decent. Seems like the Howard cell might be losing some punch for the moment.
  24. Kmlwx
    Rooting for the cell on the Loudoun/Fairfax/MoCo border. The CIMMS probs have been slowly increasing on it - lightning seems to be cycling up and down.
  25. Kmlwx
    The ProbSevere numbers on that Mount Airy storm are up to 19% TOR.
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