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Everything posted by Kmlwx
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big blunder by AlertMontgomery @Eskimo Joe - it just sent out a message for a warning in the CTP WFO.
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And it does show a 101 at 16:03
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http://www.iadasos.org/IAD/index.html
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https://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/2407161836.acus11.html
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Yeah one was out a little bit before it was issued way earlier.
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Possible that George BM was looking at the IAD ASOS live page. Might have gone up and then back down.
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Poor mid-level lapse rates/warm air aloft. Surface heat does not always equate to good instability for storms sadly.
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The RAP run on the SPC mess site gets DCAPE over the DC area to 1500!
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The CU field to the west has grown. There are some cells forming - yes they could/likely will struggle - but if a storm manages to cook it could get quite strong. DCAPE is quite strong and in the 1100-1300 range.
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99.5 after touching 100.2! Dewpoint has fallen a smidge but it's still brutal out there at above 70.
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Was just going to post the same thing. The CU field looks to be agitating as they say.
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Wunderground website map shows a few PWSs right in my neighborhood that are 100+ (even 105!) Not sure I buy those...but maybe.
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Assuming a wayward cloud doesn't go overhead I think I can do triple digits today. Up to 98.2 - but that is back from my high of 99.0. Dew is still holding up in the 73-74 range.
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Right next to the house is NW Branch Stream Valley #4. Broke through and 96.8 now. Started off a bit lower this AM from the storms yesterday as well.
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I've gotten stuck around 95 IMBY. 95.5 now with a high today of 95.7 so far.
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93.6 actual 73.9 dewpoint HI: 103.8
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13 degrees up from the low here so far. (83.7 right now). Dewpoint is a soupy 76. However, my supposedly less accurate thermometer in the same general area is 3 degrees higher.
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CSU MLP is pretty enthusiastic about the damaging wind threat tomorrow - even today but of course mainly NW.
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And we did!
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High of 98.1 at the house. Dewpoint sitting in the mid 70s. Temp now down to 77.5 after the rain.
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Yeah I was noticing some mid-level lapse rates getting advected in on the GFS. Timing kind of sucked on a few runs though. Worth watching at a minimum.
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CSU MLP remains relatively interesting for next week.
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Raining - but really did fizzle a good bit before reaching me. Good to get some liquid though
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Honestly surprised MoCo isn't warned with how LWX usually warns (no offense!). Decent gusts (but subsevere) on the LWX radar.
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The further north that gets will probably get it into better shear as well. Some good wind velocity showing up on the LWX scans entering MoCo as well.
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