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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. big blunder by AlertMontgomery @Eskimo Joe - it just sent out a message for a warning in the CTP WFO.
  2. And it does show a 101 at 16:03
  3. http://www.iadasos.org/IAD/index.html
  4. https://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/2407161836.acus11.html
  5. Yeah one was out a little bit before it was issued way earlier.
  6. Possible that George BM was looking at the IAD ASOS live page. Might have gone up and then back down.
  7. Poor mid-level lapse rates/warm air aloft. Surface heat does not always equate to good instability for storms sadly.
  8. The RAP run on the SPC mess site gets DCAPE over the DC area to 1500!
  9. The CU field to the west has grown. There are some cells forming - yes they could/likely will struggle - but if a storm manages to cook it could get quite strong. DCAPE is quite strong and in the 1100-1300 range.
  10. 99.5 after touching 100.2! Dewpoint has fallen a smidge but it's still brutal out there at above 70.
  11. Was just going to post the same thing. The CU field looks to be agitating as they say.
  12. Wunderground website map shows a few PWSs right in my neighborhood that are 100+ (even 105!) Not sure I buy those...but maybe.
  13. Assuming a wayward cloud doesn't go overhead I think I can do triple digits today. Up to 98.2 - but that is back from my high of 99.0. Dew is still holding up in the 73-74 range.
  14. Right next to the house is NW Branch Stream Valley #4. Broke through and 96.8 now. Started off a bit lower this AM from the storms yesterday as well.
  15. I've gotten stuck around 95 IMBY. 95.5 now with a high today of 95.7 so far.
  16. 93.6 actual 73.9 dewpoint HI: 103.8
  17. 13 degrees up from the low here so far. (83.7 right now). Dewpoint is a soupy 76. However, my supposedly less accurate thermometer in the same general area is 3 degrees higher.
  18. CSU MLP is pretty enthusiastic about the damaging wind threat tomorrow - even today but of course mainly NW.
  19. High of 98.1 at the house. Dewpoint sitting in the mid 70s. Temp now down to 77.5 after the rain.
  20. Yeah I was noticing some mid-level lapse rates getting advected in on the GFS. Timing kind of sucked on a few runs though. Worth watching at a minimum.
  21. CSU MLP remains relatively interesting for next week.
  22. Raining - but really did fizzle a good bit before reaching me. Good to get some liquid though
  23. Honestly surprised MoCo isn't warned with how LWX usually warns (no offense!). Decent gusts (but subsevere) on the LWX radar.
  24. The further north that gets will probably get it into better shear as well. Some good wind velocity showing up on the LWX scans entering MoCo as well.
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