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Everything posted by Kmlwx
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And also it's a WATCH not a WARNING. The literal purpose of a watch is to indicate that the criteria are possible, not occurring or imminent. Urban flooding is definitely an ever-growing problem in the cities and urban corridor.
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45%+ showing on the the CSU MLP for today. SPC holds us at slight but does mention a bowing structure possible - too many uncertainties.
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Storming - all sub severe IMBY but has cooled the temp down to 80 now and still dropping. Dewpoint in the mid 70s so very soupy still. Let's see what the threat tomorrow ends up being.
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90.0 still with a heat index of over 98. Yuck!
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And that's why the SPC folks are the guys that get paid! You can see on LWX radar the outflow from the WV activity and then increasing activity ahead of it - just like they indicated was possible in their mesoscale discussion.
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big blunder by AlertMontgomery @Eskimo Joe - it just sent out a message for a warning in the CTP WFO.
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And it does show a 101 at 16:03
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http://www.iadasos.org/IAD/index.html
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https://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/2407161836.acus11.html
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Yeah one was out a little bit before it was issued way earlier.
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Possible that George BM was looking at the IAD ASOS live page. Might have gone up and then back down.
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Poor mid-level lapse rates/warm air aloft. Surface heat does not always equate to good instability for storms sadly.
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The RAP run on the SPC mess site gets DCAPE over the DC area to 1500!
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The CU field to the west has grown. There are some cells forming - yes they could/likely will struggle - but if a storm manages to cook it could get quite strong. DCAPE is quite strong and in the 1100-1300 range.
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99.5 after touching 100.2! Dewpoint has fallen a smidge but it's still brutal out there at above 70.
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Was just going to post the same thing. The CU field looks to be agitating as they say.
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Wunderground website map shows a few PWSs right in my neighborhood that are 100+ (even 105!) Not sure I buy those...but maybe.
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Assuming a wayward cloud doesn't go overhead I think I can do triple digits today. Up to 98.2 - but that is back from my high of 99.0. Dew is still holding up in the 73-74 range.
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Right next to the house is NW Branch Stream Valley #4. Broke through and 96.8 now. Started off a bit lower this AM from the storms yesterday as well.
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I've gotten stuck around 95 IMBY. 95.5 now with a high today of 95.7 so far.
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93.6 actual 73.9 dewpoint HI: 103.8
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13 degrees up from the low here so far. (83.7 right now). Dewpoint is a soupy 76. However, my supposedly less accurate thermometer in the same general area is 3 degrees higher.
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CSU MLP is pretty enthusiastic about the damaging wind threat tomorrow - even today but of course mainly NW.
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And we did!
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High of 98.1 at the house. Dewpoint sitting in the mid 70s. Temp now down to 77.5 after the rain.
