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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. I had not been checking the thread - I thought for sure I would be out after the little snow event. Goes to show you weather is a lot of guesswork...my entry was a total shot in the dark.
  2. The wind was really rocking last night for a time but it seemed mostly synoptic wind in nature rather than specifically associated with that line of showers. Hopefully before too long we start tracking spring severe!
  3. That HRRR map shows the localized DC bow very well. #derecho
  4. Line segment between Rosedale and Clay in WV looks nice!
  5. Tracking *something* (even a pencil thin squall) would be fun and a welcome break from the winter crap-tracking. Obviously it's early for anything super beefy - but stranger things have happened. I personally think one reason severe tracking is a bit more "civil" and "tame" than the winter stuff is other than my stupid CIPS posting, we really don't look much beyond 8 days (from the D4-8 outlook) for severe. Save for a major signal, like 95% of our severe threat windows pop up within 7 days - and often more like inside 5 days. We aren't pattern hunting for weeks looking for a hint of severe. Add in that you can get a rogue pulse storm that wipes out 1000 trees and sneaky stuff is all around. Not looking forward to bugs and heat...but I sure as heck am ready to end the boredom of tracking nothing.
  6. Not to mention their ideas can generally be found elsewhere on the interwebs as well! I just hope we don't drop into a months long doldrum of boring weather. I can deal with little stretches of beautiful weather...but prolonged stretches get BORING. Hopefully we get some nasty freezes late season to cut down on the mosquito populations
  7. Ultimately it's going to be very specific if we are talking about personalized backyard results. But area wide it doesn't get much more intense than June 29, 2012
  8. It's early, but might as well do the annual severe thread (people were talking about it in the long range thread!). I don't have the @WxWatcher007 scale handy on this computer - but I usually post it for posterity for the upcoming severe season. Anything from discussing past events to potential upcoming patterns/analogs, and discussion about more specific upcoming threats can be posted in here. A while ago we stopped doing event-specific severe threads for most things. Whether we do that or not - this is the general thread. Have at it!
  9. It almost makes me wonder if some piece of "bad" data either from an aircraft or a 0z sounding did something odd. Though I think somebody else mentioned it's been a trend for a few runs.
  10. New technology was just announced by NCEP to be able to insert a north trend after the event has already happened. Wiping memories of snow and erasing actual accumulation from the space/time continuum
  11. 15-25" - final call - area wide with l isolated jackpots to 30" 0" though for Winchester and immediate surroundings. Sorry folks
  12. The temp drop here seems to have slowed/stopped right around 33ish degrees. Very pretty out watching this band come down though.
  13. Mirroring what others have posted from their stations. Accelerated drop when the precip started back up after the dryslot. Almost down to 33 now.
  14. Down to 34.2 and flakes coming down pretty hard. No accumulation as of yet.
  15. I've seen snow at 45-50 even - but the warm layer was exceedingly shallow in those cases.
  16. Actually seemingly stuck now after losing a few degrees with sunset. I guess it's better than having to wait from 60 degrees...my expectations are essentially zero for MBY.
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