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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. That would be true even 30 years ago for the DC area.
  2. Picked up some KBS Blueberry today. Drinking one now. Pretty good stuff.
  3. 52 here. heading outside now to do some yard work.
  4. First Fall 2023 HH. Who is drinking what? BCBS here. Os are on late, starting a series at Arizona. Rays are playing well again and nipping at the heels. Coming down the stretch. Should be fun. College football is underway; NFL starts in less than a week. Winter is coming.. Great time of year!
  5. Beautiful early Fall day. 76/52
  6. lol what an unhinged, nonsensical rant. Is that 5? Shit, one more I think.
  7. Temp dropped to 56 at dawn. Driving through the open areas going to work temp was as low as 54.
  8. low of 57. Going to enjoy the next couple days before we ramp up into second summer. Looks disgusting for a week at least, with no rain.
  9. Yeah I just noticed that. Still implies west based blocking with an active and favorable storm track.
  10. Classic -NAO. Colder/more snow in W Europe with that look too. Still Basin wide I guess. Interested to see the monthly breakdown later. Probably meh Dec, then gets better into Jan. March might become a winter month again too.
  11. It did a loop-de-loop in the W Atlantic and tracked SW to Miami on one of the runs yesterday lol.
  12. They were too far SE, and driving like grandma to get to the eye. Then they got there and were like "we are in the eye"!! Yeah, where nothing interesting is happening. Perry was the place to be- raked by the intact NW eyewall.
  13. It did go through an ERC as it approached the coast. Probably a high end cat 3 at landfall.
  14. Looks like the N eyewall just moving into Perry now.
  15. 30 second downpour here. I have started reseeding so dry is not so bad as I can apply controlled watering.
  16. It's an ensemble based system I believe. For a seasonal/super LR tool, it updates way too frequently tbh. Some people think it's an awful model because it appears to be all over the place, but that is really just noise. If it updated once weekly or monthly like the CanSIPS, the output over a series of runs would be more consistent.
  17. I see that now. Shocker. Here is the actual 0z run for JFM from TT.
  18. That run looks a little different on TT. The anomalies on the WB maps sure look super impressive(and exaggerated) with all those pretty colors lol. Either way, the general idea at h5 is there- about all that can be gleaned from these models at this juncture.
  19. Less than a half inch is essentially nothing. Sure, that's possible. At least we are guaranteed to have a few heavy frosts.
  20. My prediction is it will snow this winter, as usual. I will go out on a limb though and predict at least 200% of last winter's total for all 3 airports.
  21. He is more interested in digital snow. As soon as the first actual flake falls, he is bored and looking at the latest GFS run.
  22. 87/73 Looking forward to less humid/somewhat cooler weather tomorrow.
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