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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    You are east of 50 right? Probably less than half that on the west side of town/ towards St Michaels.
  2. CAPE
    These cells have been pretty localized pulsers the last few days, but a bit more organized today. Still a miss here. About 0.35" since Sunday.
  3. CAPE
    Just drove through blinding rain from Cordova north to Ridgely, now home and its gently raining with bright skies lol. Repeat of yesterday when I drove north from Denton. Maybe I can pick up a tenth today.
  4. CAPE
    Just for the hell of it, current SST anomalies compared to early July 2009: https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/anomaly/
  5. CAPE
    The Os needed a game like that. Now go take 2 of 3 in Minnesota heading into the break.
  6. CAPE
    Drove through an absolute deluge with that storm in Denton. Less than a mile north of 404 heading towards the town of Greensboro it pretty much shut off, with next to nothing from there. Completely nothing at my house lol.
  7. CAPE
    Always drink the water.
  8. CAPE
    What are we all drinking? Old fashioned mood here.
  9. CAPE
    2.13" here over the last 7 days. Big improvement over the prior 2-3 weeks.
  10. CAPE
    0.17" overnight. Mostly missed everything yesterday. Heard plenty of thunder. 0.93" since Sat, so no complaints.
  11. CAPE
    Lots of thunder here between the severe storm that passed SE and some new stuff developing just to the north/nw. Betwixt and between so far. No shelf shot, but got a pic of something to the north a bit ago.
  12. CAPE
    The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Talbot County in eastern Maryland... Caroline County in eastern Maryland... * Until 745 PM EDT. * At 659 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Oxford, or 8 miles southwest of Easton, moving east at 35 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR SOUTHERN TALBOT COUNTY!. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Mesonet. A Personal weather station measured a 84 mph wind gust on Tilghman Island. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.
  13. CAPE
    Sounds intense from here. Lots of thunder.
  14. CAPE
  15. CAPE
    The 60 min is an excellent, very drinkable IPA. The 90 is a superior DIPA. The 120, well.. another level.
  16. CAPE
    The 120 is superior; not so sure about a storm.
  17. CAPE
    Those 2 supercells on the track to the south of DC look pretty impressive. Need some congealing into a linear line or else it will be pretty isolated.
  18. CAPE
    Was it any better in Cross Junction?
  19. CAPE
    Drinking a 120 and waiting for my storm.
  20. CAPE
    Latest AFD from Mount Holly on the threat for severe- For tonight, the main player is the main larger shortwave and smaller impulses of energy rotating around it. One weak embedded shortwave and vort-max is located over western West Virginia at present, heading northeastward toward us, while another is over northeastern Pennsylvania moving likewise. CAPE in the 1500-2000 J/kg range and shear of 20-30 kts will thus likely result in an early band of strong to severe storms over the northern areas this afternoon, followed by another band forming to our southwest and moving across the area this evening. This is why we have a northern watch extending only to 8PM in the north and until 10 PM further south. Some guidance, notably the CAMS, suggest a minimum of activity in the middle of the CWA, near the I-195/PA Turnpike corridors possibly up towards I-78. Don`t feel confident to put a gap in the watches, but if there is a minimum over the middle of the CWA, won`t be surprised. Main threat this evening is damaging winds with clusters and supercells producing winds of 60-70 mph. Some hail is also possible, and an isolated tornado can`t be ruled out, but overall the risk looks lower than it did for yesterday. We`ll also have to watch the flash flood threat, with any cells moving over the urban corridor having a decent potential for at least nuisance flooding, but right now storm motion looks like it will strong enough to preclude a flood watch.
  21. CAPE
    I want a good shot of a shelf. Been awhile. Decent chance this evening. In a local chasing mood.
  22. CAPE
    The worst of it passed just to the NE. Picked up a quick 0.15" with some good cracks of thunder.
  23. CAPE
    Warned storm here. Plenty of thunder and gusty winds but right on the edge of it. Nice downpour now.
  24. CAPE
    I'll take the 18z 3km NAM
  25. CAPE
    Luckily I have no terrain induced impacts here. Every place is basically sea level (or below ). If I were to move further inland I would specifically seek out the upslope areas of the western highlands. No way I could deal with the climo of the leeward valleys/rainshadows. Might as well just stay here lol.
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