CAPE

From Mt Holly AFD. Rinse and repeat... By the start of next week synoptic pattern shifts to what has largely been the default pattern this winter... a western Atlantic ridge with upstream troughing over the Central US. This will result in a storm track north and west of the area which will favor warmer temperatures and primarily rain events. At this time details are a bit lacking, but a system does look to track over the Great Lakes Monday PM into Tuesday with a secondary system possibly on its heels on Wednesday. Temperatures will only be a couple degrees above normal Monday but should increase into the low to mid 60s by Wednesday as SW flow increases in association with the aforementioned storm systems. Eventually this wretched pattern will mercifully end, and we will get into the usual warm/humid doldrums for the balance of Spring, before we finally transition to Hot and humid with little rain for the long, long, looooong Summer ahead. Don't y'all just love it here?

Those maps have been remarkably consistent for the past 2+ months. You want snow? Go north 150+ miles.

In a winter like this? That is abundantly clear.

Warm snow White rain.

Cold rain?

There's your chase.

Not a bad look. Maybe we can score a snow shower. Too bad the other globals don't concur.

Congrats @losetoa6

New thread

I never start threads. This might end well.

We are approaching the cliff. Lets all drive off together. Start us off @Weather Will . What do the latest one inch snow prob maps show? We in the 10% range?

Heeee's baaaack. Sort of eased into it with the likes. Full on shit posting again now tho.

Chickweed is in mid March form.

Since none of the above will ever happen, an F it will remain.

It appears next weekend will feel like winter, just wont look like it.

A couple summers ago I had bluebird doing it. He left when I hung the big eyed balloons, and I never saw him after that. The Cardinals seem much more persistent.

Oh I know all about this. Get one every few summers- it will just keep battling itself, banging into windows, and crapping everywhere. I am never lucky enough to have one bash its own brains in though lol. You really think they would. I found these scary "beach ball" things that have big, exaggerated eyes on them, and they work well. Looks a bit weird when you see them hanging on the house though. Kinda like Voodoo shit. But that usually still won't deter them completely- they just find another 'target'. The one I had last year found the plastic chrome trim on the lower grille of my Jeep. It spent all summer launching itself into that lol. Its only the males that do it. The one I had last summer a lot of the time would have its mate sitting there on the ground watching him. Like "Hey babe look how tough I am fighting this dude to keep him away from you".

CFS did get the AO/NAO right. It was persistently showing blue up top leading into winter, and continued that look. It failed miserably with the EPO. Even after the Pac pattern emerged and became stable, the CFS kept insisting on a big EPO ridge delivering cross polar flow, with a trough in the east. It has been playing catch up over the last month.

Just doin' my job.

You already know how this ends up lol. We will, however, have our third straight cold/dry weekend following another mild week. Rinse and repeat,

22 here. The forecast low was 30. Dry air and clear skies ftw.

Mount Holly Snippet- LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Overall, our pattern of warm, wet, cold, dry continues this week. Yup. The beat goes on. Although the cold part is debatable.

^I should have made that my profile photo a month ago.