CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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lol it was extremely creative. Guess I will have to dig up that thread now.
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No post by anyone here will ever match Jebman's epic Boston snow rant from 2015. A true classic.
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Noobs.
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This window actually has decent support on the GEFS. Too bad it will be gone in a couple hours lol.
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What? This is the one. Gonna save our winter.
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Not at all. All guidance has been heading this way for days now. I don't think anyone here is surprised. I just think its fitting if it ends this way. There was really never any tangible reason to believe the pattern would be notably different going forward, outside of shorter wavelengths.
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Yeah and some were beating on the Euro for being too dry/too suppressed. It almost always wins.
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Just to expand the futility area a bit, Philly is at 0.3". Their worst snowfall season was 1972-73, recording a trace. As of now, this winter would rank second, just ahead of 1997-98, with 0.8".
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We will see 80 before the end of March.
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Just looked at some snow obs for down south. 1-4", with a lone report of 5. Mostly in the 1-3 range. Pretty much as expected, except for those buying into the ridiculous NAM runs. Decent event for them considering the horrific pattern.
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Yawn. This h5 look is as bad as we have seen all winter. Lets just hope we don't get our seasonal flip to a -NAO until June, where the only damage it can do is make things warmer.
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Those 20 DBZ returns are very close to OC. Probably wont make it though.
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Someone must be reporting a flizzard. Radar is lighting up with pale blue returns.
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Tracking virga with special hi res models no one has ever heard of is fun!
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Jezus these local weather personalities are all terrible.
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Oh yea...just trying to find somewhere to drive. I've given up around here lol There or Canaan is on my list of possible places to move in the next couple years. Everywhere else is up north. No substitute for latitude. NNE doesn't worry about 12 different indices all being in perfect alignment for snow.
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Great event for Garrett county As you well know, its a different world out there.
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^The problem with this mess of a pattern is it requires a bunch of needle threading to even have a chance. The ultimate fluke. The "better" window was supposed to be just beyond next weekend. Ofc that is now in doubt, as if we didn't know that was coming lol.
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A +NAO and a 50/50 high with an amplified upper trough to our west is a disaster. Anyone want to explain to me how this look is full of potential? How could it possibly track underneath? Unless/until I see lower heights showing up off the Canadian maritimes on approach, this is a goner. It's on to March. Except both the GEFS and the EPS now have a western US trough and a SE ridge lol. What I meant to say was..it's on to Spring.
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It is inevitable this winter. The model with the worst possible look for snow here will end up correct.
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Yeah for flooding rains well up into NE lol.
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I would chase that, but I cant this time. I thought you were saying chase to OC, lol. For a dusting? Nah.
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Work wont allow it. And I only chase big dogs.
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Just like the GEFS, nothing to see here on the EPS through at least the end of the month. The means have been consistently unenthusiastic about snow chances for this region.
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Yeah there looks to be enough cold around, but with no blocking and lots of pieces flying around, comes down to wave timing. It's working out for the SE today. Seems like we are due for a little luck.
