CAPE

87/79 Was just outside watering all the plants. Zero faith my yard sees any significant rain over the next couple days. Been almost a week since it rained. Close to 2" of rain doesn't last this time of year- 6 days later and the soil is dry af.

I think that's correct. There was no mention of any severe potential the evening before IIRC. When I heard about it that morning I was like, What??

I go to Kent Island pretty often, and I was there a day or 2 later. Damage just inland was pretty impressive, and from route 8 you could clearly see the path it took NE and across route 50 as it weakened.

Last 2 weak Nina winters(16-17, 17-18) had the big early January beach snowstorms. Let's do that again.

80/77 here currently.

And we have plenty around here right? Blobs of tar all over the lower doors and quarter panels of my Jeep.

The sacrifice I make is there is no way to get decent wind readings with all the trees and the location of my station. I really don't care about that though.

That makes a difference. I am totally in the woods, with no neighbors nearby, but the back yard does get some decent sun.

That was the current temp and dp readings. Not the high. Official temp is supposed to be taken without influence from direct sun, so shade/trees are not relevant. My station is 3-4 ft off the ground. It does get "sun soaked" for about 6-8 hours this time of year btw. It's designed well enough that the sun has little influence though- I check my station temp against an auxiliary temp sensor I keep on the north side of the house(no sun at all) and its within a couple degrees. High temps were 91 and 93 from the 2 sensors today, respectively.

88/73 here. I would love to see 100/80 Fri and or Sat lol. I always bust low here with these Atlantic heat ridge setups. The wildcard is the remnant tropical air mass getting injected from Barry.

Forecast high for for tomorrow here was 93 this morning, now its 96. Dews expected to be about the same. HA or not, its gonna be hot. Forecast high for Sat is 99 here now. Pretty confident that will bust low. I don't think I have seen a high in my yard exceeding 97 since I have lived here. No urbanization whatsoever. Just farms and trees. Love to see 100 just for the hell of it.

That must have been the legacy.

Another couple of updates and the prediction will be a weak Nina for winter.

Latest CPC ENSO update(today) favors the Nino transitioning to ENSO neutral conditions over the next couple months and persisting for fall and winter.

Mount Holly's take on the heat for Friday into the weekend- Friday through Sunday...The heat is on and will continue through the weekend. Surface high pressure will situate itself over the western Atlantic with a surface trough across the eastern seaboard. In the mid and upper levels, we will see a large ridge spread across the Mid-Atlantic, which will help in facilitating an increasingly hot airmass through the weekend. While the numbers may vary across the models, the 850mb temperatures look to rise around 22-23C each day, which translates to upper 90s to around 100 degrees at the surface, especially for Friday and Saturday. With dew points in the mid to upper 70s, it will feel oppressive and it is looking increasingly likely that heat headlines will be needed for this period. Overnight lows will remain in the upper 70s to around 80, especially through the urban corridor, providing no relief from the heat. The heat starts to break a bit for Sunday as the upper/mid ridge starts to shift towards the east but both the GFS and ECMWF hold onto the higher 850mb values through Sunday so anticipate that the excessive heat will continue through the end of the weekend.

Feels quite pleasant outside. 84/64 Sitting out on the deck sipping some Knob Creek on the rocks. Might as well enjoy it before the legit oppressive heat and high dews build in beginning tomorrow.

Or CAPE-town.

New Hampshire. 75/55 was typical the few days I was there. Glorious July weather.

Winter -NAO? pffft. Nino? Screw it. This is the h5 set up we want.

Plenty of great waterfalls in Vermont and NH. Most are pretty easy to get to with relatively short and not difficult hikes. I always end up climbing down(or up) off the trails to get a better vantage point. The weather was so perfect too. I am ready to go back!

I believe the upcoming week is the climo warmest of the summer, and it looks like it will feature some serious heat and humidity. Could certainly see a 97-98 high for Friday/Saturday in the DC-PHI corridor. Most places outside the cities will probably see low to mid 90s. The bigger story looks to be the humidity levels by late week- dew points perhaps getting close to 80? The nights are going to feel awful too, with lows well up into the 70s and oppressive humidity. HI values might be near 110 in some places by Friday afternoon.

Looks about 10 degrees off lol. That number is probably about right for the HI for that time though.

Seems silly to be speculating about excessive heat a week out when there is still uncertainty about the impact Barry will have for this region. As of now it looks like a decent bet some tropical moisture will become entrained in a front approaching mid next week. Looks plenty warm and humid, but with clouds/chances for showers and storms middle to late week, temps reaching upper 90s seems like a long shot through next Thursday at least. Who knows after that.

Yeah I guess so. I did make one post. I was ready to roll man!

Looks like the total for today is 1.78". I'll take it.