CAPE
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Yeah I saw/heard it. Picked up a tenth here but it mostly slid off to the east.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
CAPE replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Mappyland looks to be doing well currently. -
Not ruled out yet, but it would be odd to risk it for game one, unless they are sure its a bruise or something that won't get worse.
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Highest temp of the heatwave today. 94. 3km NAM is the only meso that shows any showers making it here tonight. Not likely.
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Opening night for NFL football. Yeah baby. About to crack open a 120.
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I see it now. Have to click on 'Warm/ Cold Season Prediction' on that link. I was on the 90 day.
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Latest CFS runs have a much improved h5 look for December. Normal/slightly below temps. No need to mention Jan and Feb at this juncture
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Pretty sure the JMA only goes into December this run, so that's really a look at the advertised pattern for Fall and the very beginning of winter. eta- https://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/map/4mE/map1/pztmap.php
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Low of 70 after a high of 93 yesterday.
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Appears 93 is the high here. Temp down to 92 currently.
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Yeah went from nearly 10" in July here to 2.5" in August, but very little in the last 3 weeks.
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Was just outside watering the eff out of the new grass. Pretty damn humid, but temp is 85.
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Can't even hit 95 here. Maybe tomorrow, but I'll take the under lol. Never recorded 100 that I can recall.
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High of 93. Currently 90 at 4pm, aka start of HH
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High 92. Currently 90. Hottest yet to come here. Forecast high for the next 3 days is 94.
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92 here. Pretty sultry.
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Good point. The mean h5 ridge has been to the west. Your area downslopes well, which means compressional heating. Competes with the UHI just to the east. Over here its been significantly less hot due to being further east, and ofc zero UHI. It has gotten quite dry here over the last couple weeks, but nothing like your area is experiencing over the last 3+ months.
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84/70 approaching dinner hour, after a high of 90. A tad more humid than I was expecting today.
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Nah, it can locally increase the dewpoints in mid summer though. I think it has a relativity minor impact overall- if we have an airmass with dry NW flow from Canada, its not like the evapotranspiration(corn sweat)is going drive the dewpoints higher in any meaningful way. Probably a more notable (slight) local impact when the flow is more tropical in nature from the SE in a Bermuda high setup, for example.
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Damn corn sweat It's all feed corn around here and its pretty dried up now. They should be harvesting soon.
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89 currently after a high of 90.
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62
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Highest forecast temp this week here is 93. That probably will be the absolute highest. I'll go with 92 . No UHI here, and less downsloping impacts than farther inland.
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High of 81 here. Probs get close to 90 tomorrow.
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Not sure what the core issue is, but the GFS seems to be depicting air that is quite dry compared to reality under these anomalous h5 ridges lately. Noticed this with the recent central US heat wave, where in some cases it had dewpoints in the upper 30s-low 40s. That will contribute to notable error in the advertised high temps due to the specific heat capacity difference.
