CAPE

0.32" Definitely no runoff here lol. but at the rate it is falling, the wind/evaporation is an overwhelming factor. I bet the soil is parched a cm under. Hopefully will do better with the increasing DPs and southerly flow later, although it will be more scattered. Can't be worse.

0.28" here at home. A windswept drizzle currently. Sure would be nice to see torrential rain with T&L. Been ages.

This area is in the sweet spot. Only about 0.2" so far at my house. Those yellows don't seem to push north. Some sort of convergence zone maybe.

Yes GoT.

Steady moderate rain here in Easton.

Uneducated maybe? Your post was random gibberish.

Pretty good look for some heavy shower and thunderstorm possibilities early next week.

Snippet from Mount Holly discussing the pattern evolution and the chances for (heavier) rain for the period beyond the next few days- The flow throughout much of the atmosphere will become well-aligned from the south, and remain that way for much of the long term forecast period. Cut- off low pressure over the Southeast US will only slowly lift northward toward the Great Lakes, then drift eastward across our region over the weekend. Meanwhile, longer range model guidance is tentatively in good agreement of another fairly strong upper-level trough ejecting eastward from the northern Rockies toward the Great Lakes early next week. That system may amplify as it settles into the long wave trough set up along the East Coast, reinforcing warm, moist southerly flow across our region. The airmass from Friday through the weekend looks quite convective, and showers/t-storms will tend to be enhanced with daytime heating, particularly if there is any sunshine. While it will not rain all the time, and any one day through this period does not look anomalously moist for June, the pattern will be capable of producing heavy rain, particularly with any training convection or when the flow aloft weakens. Despite the drought in some parts of our region, flooding may become an issue particularly next week if this pattern comes to fruition and the ground becomes more saturated.

18z ICON is juicy through midday Sat. 1-2" across the area.

12z GEFS through the end of the month. GEPS is wetter.

Guidance depicts the blocking pattern breaking down towards the end of the week, with surface high pressure developing in the western Atlantic for a time. With a disturbance tracking to our NW and a southerly flow we should have a warmer, more humid airmass in place as a cold front approaches later Saturday. Other than getting in on some moisture on the northern edge of the southern closed low, our next best shot at significant rain looks to be associated with the energy lifting north as the pattern breaks down and the low opens.

Yeah much of southern DE and the lower MD eastern shore have done pretty well with showers and storms the past few weeks. Not even abnormally dry there. My area is right on the line between abnormally dry and moderate drought.

0.53" for the month here so far.

The dryness will continue, but so will the nice weather with normal to below normal temps and comfortable dewpoints.

Lucky to get that brief downpour earlier I guess. Radar looks.. uninspiring.

Just caught the edge of the developing line that is rocking areas just to my east in DE. Gusty winds and a brief downpour. Quick 0.2". Hopefully something else pops to the west later.

Yep.

I expect most of the activity will be east/SE/NE of my yard. In that betwixt and between groove.

I had a good view of the cell as I was driving. Looked like Denton was getting a good downpour, but it was weakening. No sign of lightning.

Upper ridge more amped on recent runs and it really suppresses the UL energy southward. We can't seem to win with the blocky patterns this Spring/early summer.

Easton area had some heavy rain this morning. Wet here at work and ditches have water in them. At my house- about 7 drops.

The latest edition of the CanSIPS was discussed pretty extensively a couple weeks ago itt when it came out. The advertised Nino evolution from early Fall through winter looks quite interesting for our region. Couple more weeks until the next edition.