CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Pretty similar looking sounding for here with some decent precip still falling. I rather like the 3km NAM. Suggestive of some banding for eastern areas, which is probably what it would take to cool the lower levels and actually provide a chance of some snow stickage.
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I don't always do that. Just lately. Sometimes the way you word things there seems to be an embedded(maybe unintentional) slight. And sometimes you post stuff that doesn't offer any additional insight over something that has literally just been posted by others. @stormtracker Any chance we can get that Prince emoji added here?
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Yeah it does suck, which explains why he posts here. He does fine most of the time. I am ok with outsiders as long as they add value. snow88 OTOH...
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Not sure where you are going with this, but okay Ralphy.
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This is a discussion thread, and factoring prominently in that is model discussion. We should not need to use qualifiers every time we mention day 10+ ensemble mean projections just to coddle the panic prone. They all know where to take that shit.
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I wouldn't if I lived in Leesburg. Latest runs are screaming 35 and rain with a few splatty flakes for the corridor and points east, however.
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Yeah, I know. I am not on the warm train because the LR guidance is currently suggesting a PAC flood. Pay closer attention.
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Unless the ensembles are completely wrong I would say we are in for at least a few days of mild weather. Remains to be seen if it becomes a prolonged stretch. No sense in hand wringing over something that is 10 days away.
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Pretty nice look here. Maybe one last chance to score something before we possibly go mild PAC dominant for a bit.
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Lots of drinking. Good Vodka. Made from glacial water and distilled using geothermal energy.
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It does tend to be a little snowy and icy there, but not so much on the coast. Reykjavik has about the same annual snowfall as Philadelphia. Cold, dark, and mostly rainy.
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6z Euro
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Had some heavy rain here overnight. 0.52" Since the snow will fail here, I am rooting for a 2" rain total.
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Mount Holly removed any mention of snow from the forecast here. They are expecting no more than a coating anywhere outside of their NE PA/NW NJ zones. It would take some dynamics and heavy precip/banding to overcome the warm boundary layer, esp for the coastal plain. Not sure that is very likely at this point. The usual places like Westminster will probably manage a sloppy inch or 2.
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The way to sugar coat it is to not buy it, and/or believe it will be transient. At least the look up top is respectable as the PAC shifts to an unfavorable look on guidance. Another few runs and we will have a better idea if this is just a reshuffle and the pattern rolls forward, or if it will stick for awhile. I am inclined to go with persistence at this point.
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I concur. Still could be a total flop, but cant see it being more than a 1-3 deal at this point.
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Jets are pretty beat up and lack talent overall. Unless the Ravens simply overlook them(not likely) it should be a pretty easy win. The last 2 games are more concerning, as they are divisional and are always hard fought. We owe the Browns as they kicked our buts at home early.
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Yeah there were a handful of odd play calls. Also I was not impressed with the undisciplined play of the D down the stretch, despite how well they played overall. Up 24-9 they let them back in the game with some really stupid penalties at critical times.
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What a great defensive play to end the game. Poor Brady. Good day for the Ravens.
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That's it KC. Show the cheaters you ain't messing around.
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It will take some serious FGEN/banding to overcome the marginal boundary layer temps, esp for the corridor points east.
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Weenie maps make me happy. Even if there is not a chance in hell they will verify.
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Its Dec 8th dude, and there have been "flakes" in many locales. Even some accumulation in places- like Richmond and Salisbury.
