CAPE
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There is still a weak signal for something around the 17th on the GEFS and to a lesser extent the EPS. Something to keep an eye on, as beyond the next few days there probably wont be much winter weather to be tracked for a while.
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Picked up 0.87" of rain over the last couple days. 1.62" over the last 7 days.
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The totality of his contributions: He is more useless than snow88.
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Looks like a rainy game too. Both teams like to run, and so it will come down to which D can get the other team's O off the field, and turnovers. Titans are a tad scary to me, because they do play smash mouth, and are playing loose. That being said, their Dean Pees led defense ranked 21st this season, and the Ravens should be able to move the ball effectively and control the clock.
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Towards D15, the latest EPS and GEPS are still showing signs of slight improvement on the Pac side, especially the EPS, and have +heights from Scandinavia building into GL, the GEPS in particular. GEFS looks more bleak, and suggests we have a long, long way to go.
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Sounds awesome!
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^Very well could be the Ravens opponent next week. I expect the Pats will find a way to beat the Titans in an ugly game.
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Damn. Impressive opening drive by the Bills.
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I wouldn't know...
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C'mon dude, it is clear you are on the payroll of 007. No worries. You aren't the only one.
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Oh I don't mind imperials at all. lol. Prefer them actually. I have tried quite a few from Mispillion. Not tried that one yet though. Love Milford, DE. Such a comfy, quaint town. Speaking of Imperials, I cracked open that Oak aged Vanilla WWS. It was calling me from its very temporary home in the fridge.
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There have been some hints of improvement on the PAC side for the fist time in a while. Latest MJO forecasts suggest tropical convection may actually progress off of the MC, and there are subtle signs of improvement in the central/eastern PAC on the EPS and the GEPS, including an increase in the PNA beyond D10. Might be noise. We should know in a few days, lol.
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The EPS looks similar but the trend towards neutral is at a slightly lower rate. GEFS shows a slight increase then levels off.
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So I am not hallucinating. lol. I have a feeling the EPS tellies are going to have the PNA rising towards or above -2!
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I see some slight improvement in the PAC on the 12z EPS at the end. Pac ridge is weaker, slightly further east, and the trough seems to be on the move east. Or maybe I am hallucinating.
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9 bucks a bottle is typical if you find a place that sells singles(most do). Otherwise its 36 a 4 pack.
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One of you NW of the fall line people should start a thread.
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I have a bottle of the Vanilla in the fridge. That is my "least" fav of the 3. I defo need to get more of the Bourbon barrel one.
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12z GEFS continues to have a modest signal for something frozen between the 16th and 18th with a cold front that temporarily knocks down the SE ridge. We can track this until it disappears lol. Otherwise it's wall to wall SE ridge and mild, and still hints of higher h5 heights building towards GL from Scand at the end of the run.
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@mattie g @nw baltimore wx @Scraff If you haven't tried DFH Bourbon barrel aged World Wide Stout, pick one up(or more, but at 18.3% one will do). Freaking delicious.
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They will just have to run for 300 yds instead of 200.
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Prime window runs from mid Jan to mid Feb historically. Some of our bigger snows have occurred mid to late Feb, and once in a while early March. Lately March has become more of a winter month.
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Some wet flakes and maybe a coating would be nice, esp given the advertised pattern over the next couple weeks. I should head to the western highlands. Looks like some decent winter out there over the next few days. Will be hard to come by in the very near future.
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That looks a little better than yesterday's forecast, which had it weakening just as it was moving into phase 6, then into the COD. Looked like from there it might loop and flare up right near the MC again. Hopefully the strength and forward momentum will take it into phase 7 before it weakens.
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I have said exactly that several times over the past couple days.That is my expectation, especially imby. Your area could more easily luck into something.
