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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. We only care about the NAO during the winter, so this historical series gives you a good idea of the long term values. NAO has been predominately in the +phase during the winter months over the last 50 years, with generally more instances of strongly positive episodes in winter compared to prior periods. With the recent unfavorable trends in the Pacific patterns during winter, we might be phucked in the MA for awhile. Go north. None of this stuff matters much relative to cold and snow up in NH.
  2. Is something like that even meteorologically possible anymore?
  3. Yes indeed. It is definitely a localized marine influenced climate they enjoy there.
  4. Yeah it looks like we are going to have a weak Nina or a cold neutral during winter at this juncture. This is recent stuff, from a few days ago- https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-cpc_plume
  5. ^Easy to imagine how this will go. That EPAC ridge/downstream trough position looks precarious.. but a monster -NAO will save us this time! I wont bother posting it because it sucks beyond words, but the CanSIPS has the h5 look that will probably be much closer to reality, based on our recent run.
  6. CFS has been on a "good" run lately with looks like these. No qualifiers necessary. We all know the deal with long range climate models.
  7. Lets get this (pity) party started.
  8. Imagine being a weather forecaster in SD. For those who just want 'ideal" weather all the time, probably hard to match the climate there.
  9. 2017-18 was literally right at seasonal average in my yard, plus the bomb cyclone beach chase, so cant hate on that. But yeah outside of that, its been pretty lean for cold and snow lately.
  10. Hard to imagine. I mean less than an inch of snow for almost the entire MA coastal plain? Philly had their most futile snowfall winter ever with 0.3" I think. I will take my chances with a Nina, if that's where we are headed. We can do average snow in a Nina year. The back to back coastals that crushed the beaches in Jan of 17 and 18 happened in Nina winters. Also the Dec storm that is never to be mentioned here(2010) was a good hit for the Delmarva. particularly eastern areas.
  11. Its almost mid July. About time for a Winter 2020-21 discussion thread isn't it? Never too early to speculate about the next disaster. So many ways to fail..
  12. That is a big difference. I really like it up there, but not sure I want it for a primary place. The persistent brutal cold would become a drag in the winter. I keep looking around out in the Canaan area. Gotta love the micro climate there, and it is a beautiful area for hiking etc. 130-160" of snow on average without the persistent cold. Sure it rains more and the snow doesn't stick around as long, but I am fine with that.
  13. I have a friend who lives in Conway NH, and he is always moaning about how little snow he gets there compared to areas nearby. I think that area averages about 80". Whats the average annual snowfall where you are?
  14. Is that Fay up on the ridge there?
  15. I don't think there is any particular time since covid. No HH time constraints at home. I try to wait until at least 2 tho. Discipline.
  16. It's Friday and getting close to HH. That DFH WWS has been in the fridge all week..
  17. Less is more. Eventually you just shave it. I do it almost everyday. Lather up the head, face. and have at it. Harrys does the whole job very well.
  18. Hope all your numbers are good. I just did my annual blood work and have my (remote) appointment to go over the results tomorrow.
  19. Just poured a Terrapin Coffee Oatmeal Imperial Stout. HHH!
  20. Mine get very big and leafy, but dont bloom anymore. Probably not enough sun as the trees have grown over the years. Might move them this fall.
  21. On paper they have really improved the D. Queen should make an immediate impact.
  22. Still painful to think about that game. I had a really bad feeling going into it, and it became a worse nightmare than I imagined.
  23. You have had like 10" in the last month lol. How are the skeeters there?
  24. 1.68" total here, mostly from the initial round. I guess most of the heavy stuff around midnight moved to the SW of here.
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