CAPE

Just a few hundred miles north and we are in the game. And plenty of time to get there!

Oh I agree. "Right where we want it". Well, if it was the GFS we would be saying that.

It was at 0z but it took the low to central Florida lol. Looks like its on the way to doing it again this run.

Always good to have the highs and the lows in the right places on approach. Big ass H above the GLs, and a low off the Maritimes.

@showmethesnow Nice write-up. I am inclined to agree. Probably the warmest periods we see will be when we get into the warm sector of storms taking unfavorable tracks, which will be brief. At this point I doubt we see a period with multiple sunny days and temps in the 50s and 60s. The NA should be favorable enough to keep the immediate east coast on the cool side. That being said, chances of seeing a region wide legit frozen event going forward towards Christmas looks pretty low at this point. If the pattern evolves ideally, the days thereafter might get more interesting.

Or they drink Guinness, which is like 4% abv. Pretty close to water.. My HH stout from Oliver Brewing Company in Bmore was 10%, and thus my hallucinations were much more impressive.

Not a bad looking HH GEFS snowfall map. Almost all of that is from the 20th through the 29th in our region.

Probably not. I have those same kinds of reactions when my buddy from NH texts me photos of him skiing/snowshoeing near Mt Washington.

I honestly don't see a "torch", but ofc that is relative. There will probably be a week or so centered on Xmas of temps generally in the 45-50 degree range at worst. But yeah, wrt to snow potential, that is a virtual shutout. Even on the EPS, looking at the last 4-5 runs, there are indications this will be transient and the pattern may evolve to a more favorable look as soon as the last few days of the month.

It wont matter. That's a rainstorm. And that is not blocking- it is a fairly transient upper ridge. In order to overcome a hostile Pac, a legit block that actually extends into the NA for multiple days, with a quasi-stationary 50-50 low stuck underneath, would give us a fighting chance. Bootleg stuff- an h5 ridge near GL with a blue ball racing northeastward through the 50-50 region, is a thread the needle deal, and indicative of a lack of true blocking. Outside of perfect timing/a lot of luck, that likely wont work out well for the majority of our region, esp when the EPAC is hostile.

Speed of Darkness Excellent.

If the Patriots lose a game they would have 4 losses, and even if the Ravens lost their last 2, they would have the same record but own head to head tiebreaker. But that would not guarantee the Ravens the top seed because KC, I believe, if they win out would be 12-4, and if the ravens were also 12-4, KC would be the top seed. Simply put, Ravens need to beat the Browns and they are the number one seed.

I couldn't resist the cheesiness. I think it came from 33andrain actually. I am in trouble!

Yeah they have something to work on in the next week, and I was also pretty impressed with Darnold.

Breakfast Stout.

So, how about those Ravens!

Here is a peak at the advertised "torch" on the EPS. Verbatim, no it's not a look that supports snow, but I mean mid forties around Xmas is fine with me.

You are right. They are both sappy, awful channels, but Hallmark > Lifetime when it comes perpetual snow. I think it snows in Florida on that channel.

That's my understanding. Why wont it snow when we have the low sun, short days, and its Xmas season. Happens all the time on Lifetime channel.

Our climo is a disaster.

So he could get his 5th TD pass ofc. Third time this year. He is done now.

I want another 10.

Gettin' those wide receivers involved!

D is playing soft. That needs to change in the second half.

Spell check sucks on here.