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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Yeah probably a good reason to keep our sights on the day 10 period- Interesting enough looks on the EPS and the GEFS for around the New Year, and beyond that is probably more muddled than usual.
  2. CAPE
    I don't hate that look at all.
  3. CAPE
    Its not a bad look in the LR on the mean, but realistically the h5 pattern won't look like that, as there is quite a bit of spread on the individual members. Verbatim the mean looks cold for much of the lower 48, but its likely due to disagreement among the members on location of the main features. We are not likely going to see low h5 height anomalies covering most of the Continental US as depicted towards the end of the run.
  4. CAPE
    I have been busy having fun and not paying a lot of attention to the LR big picture the past few days(a good thing) but there is a lot of good stuff happening here.
  5. CAPE
    12/16: 0.1" Total: 0.6"
  6. CAPE
    Given the streak my yard is on- failing every way imaginable last winter- it is pretty sad.
  7. CAPE
    12/11: 0.5"
  8. CAPE
    bupkis
  9. CAPE
    I just made a post, and the thread showed that I made the most recent post, but its not showing up. Something is effed up.
  10. CAPE
    Gotta do what ya gotta do. I do all kinds of odd stuff here lol. I have no neighbors tho which is nice. One thing about the BB, the stuff is really green when it matures, and ofc does well in the shade.
  11. CAPE
    @frd Just took this pic of the new grass. Not bad considering I had to keep it going for 7 weeks in a drought. I should have taken a before photo 8 weeks ago. It was sad- burnt grass/thatch, dirt, and clover lol.
  12. CAPE
    Finally got around to actually building a firepit to go with the surround I did back in the Spring. I built a couple planter boxes to put trees in, and I will make a bench once I figure out exactly what I want.
  13. CAPE
    That is a great graphic by Don. Yeah the big storm in 2016 had the dry slot which seemed to be missed by forecasters. This storm was sort of a 2 part deal, and that is always tricky. Part one worked out well here- I was thinking 5-6 and I ended up a bit over 5. Yesterday afternoon/evening was a complete whiff, and even my updated forecast at 330 pm was still calling for 2-4", but not a flake fell.
  14. CAPE
    I missed all the part 2 action yesterday here. Poorly modeled. All guidance, including the 12z Euro had around 0.4 here with the coastal ccb. By the time the UL energy and the coastal congealed, it was all to my SE. Betwixt and between. I did get 5.2" from part one. Congrats to all who got the part 2 'surprise'. Amazing pics. Radar was frustrating to watch from here though lol.
  15. CAPE
    Just noticed my forecast has been updated. Now 3-5" today and 1-2 tonight. Not sure about that, although some of the 'today's snow' would have already fallen I guess? Strange way to do a noon update to a forecast if that's the case.
  16. CAPE
    Light snow still falling. I went out and shoveled while there is a bit of a lull. 4.8" Love the long duration of the event. Perpetual snow. The Upper energy and coastal development might offer some dynamics that the first part of the storm has lacked. Should be some impressive banding.
  17. CAPE
    4.5" here. Been on the edge of heavier stuff to my south for a while, but finally into some 30 dbz stuff now.
  18. CAPE
    Yeah. 3k shootin' some heroin now too.
  19. CAPE
    If you are in Easton I wouldn't worry at all. Closer to the coast for sure. Eastern Sussex etc will likely mix or change to rain for a while.
  20. CAPE
    Damn 3k NAM gone a little nuts too.
  21. CAPE
    Its snowing! Woop! Its snowing! Woop! Its snowing! Woop! Be back next hour with another update.
  22. CAPE
    27 with steady snow falling. Small to medium sized flakes. Probably a quarter inch. Looking pretty out there.
  23. CAPE
    32/20 here
  24. CAPE
    Updated Map
  25. CAPE
    Pretty darn good model agreement for S MD to get pummeled. Good for Wes.
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