CAPE

I posted a (much higher quality) version of this graph a page or 2 back.

This is exhibiting hysteria on the other end.

That is a pretty general, and not very personal question. I mean, you advertise that you have 3 residences and their locations right under your display name.

Well there are plenty of "shiitheads" here, yes. Noise is easily filtered.

I don't see it. A lot of people are misinformed because their primary source of "factual" information is what they read on Facebook and Twitter. I have little use for social media. The data is pretty clear that young, healthy adults are at a low risk of dying from this, or even getting seriously ill.

Well I think that is the point. It is a novel virus, so we don't have either, yet the silly comparisons to car crashes and people dying in their pools continues by folks that "should" know better.

Generally agree. As for those "protests", they are nothing more than a staged shiit show by one very specific group.

Already happening.

lol I just realized he was referring to Phin, not Dr Phil. lol I got that finally.

Yeah. I am as anxious as anyone to get back to some semblance of normalcy, but it will only happen over time, will require efficient and widely available testing, and continued protective measures- social distancing and especially in workplaces- required PPE. Fox news giving airtime to these quacks to try and "counter" the true experts like Fauci is absurd, counterproductive, but totally expected.

For those who still insist on downplaying COVID by comparing it to everything from car accidents to swimming pool deaths, including quacks/tv docs like Dr Phil and Oz, this graph is pretty telling. https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/not-like-the-flu-not-like-car-crashes-not-like

Always in the morning. Is that before or after?

I cut my own. With a Harry's razor.

As long as people don't create an alcohol shortage, like they did with TP, we might all make it through this with our sanity.

Yup. People better get used to social distancing/gloves/masks. It is the new normal. A vaccine is probably a year away. Forget sports, concerts etc. Not happening.

"Here" now? lol. Considering that approximately 100% of those who post on the politics forum come from this weather forum, this is hardly a revelation.

Very similar looking.

Was a pretty ordinary storm with heavy rain and some gusty winds here. If there was rotation it was just NE of me. If you look closely you can see a turkey buzzard gliding out in front.

I was down at the end of my driveway taking a few shots of it approaching when the warning alert came across lol. Then a lightning bolt had be "running" back up the driveway in flip flops.

Here is the SPS on the gravity wave- Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 932 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020 NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-101>103-105-131545- Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Carbon-Monroe-Berks- Lehigh-Northampton-Western Chester-Eastern Chester- Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks- Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown, Flemington, Somerville, Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester, Kennett Square, Collegeville, Pottstown, Chalfont, and Perkasie 932 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020 ...Brief period of damaging wind gusts possible late this morning... Several surface observations from central Pennsylvania have indicated a one-to-two hour period of wind gusts between 40 and 70 mph. These stronger winds have reached the southern Poconos and Lehigh Valley. Wind gusts may reach 60 mph in eastern Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey through midday. Tree damage and power outages may occur with these stronger wind gusts.

Yup it feels legit humid out there now. Temp is up to 68 here.

Already had a power outage here for an hour +, and the wind is really gusting again now. It had calmed down a bit when the rain stopped earlier.

Probably right on the leading edge of the dry slot. It's going to be an interesting day with the trees and power lines.

This is technically round 2 now, as the actual warm front is lifting north over the area. Next we see how unstable we can get from around mid morning on. What develops at that point would be round 3, and carry severe potential, with the best chances of mixing some of that strong wind field aloft down to the surface. Winds are really picking up here now, with some heavy showers moving through.

Well, Mount Holly went with a fairly widespread High Wind Warning. I thought it might only be hoisted for the immediate coastal counties of DE and NJ.. ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 mph with 50 to 60 mph gusts expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern and southern New Jersey, southeast Pennsylvania, northeast Maryland and central, northern and southern Delaware. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 7 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Thunderstorms are possible on Monday that could result in even stronger wind gusts. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive.