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  1. Past hour
  2. AFD is at least now acknowledging snow chances in the Palmer Divide.
  3. I thought maybe this was a joke or you meant Penn State. But I looked it up and found free Washington Post article all about the Penn team. "The new forecast, issued Wednesday, calls for a range of 27 to 39 named storms, with a best guess of 33. The most on record was 30 named storms in 2020." North Atlantic ocean temps have hit highs for the past 419 days. This is shown in great chart in article using top solid black line for 2024 and orange line below that for 2023. It is impossible for me not to think I and others here am going to get something we won't like out of the predicted very high land and ocean heat this summer. Not nearly as bad as Sandy when I lived (second floor thank God) a brief walk from Hudson River & NYC Harbor in downtown Jersey City but something. I didn't expect to feel that way when I moved back to Williamsport in 2015. https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/other/forecast-group-predicts-busiest-hurricane-season-on-record-with-33-storms/ar-AA1nBEbz
  4. It was damn cold in NNE even though it was in and out in 12-18 hours. This afternoon always looked nice, but I wouldn’t call it a warm day. But yeah, I’ll take today over 65° and rain any day.
  5. Acatt tried to play it up, fron a historic arctic outbreak to weeks of onshore wind, anything to Debbie what turned into a rather mild, dry period.
  6. super dry air. Dews in the low 20s. Should increase by 40+ degrees over the next 40 hours
  7. With real feel in sum of 67 . You’ve tried making this one day mild down something wild and historic lol. It was meh , nothing special and boring
  8. Will the current dry stretch continue? Euro is quite torchy Friday the 3rd
  9. No. JFK's record is 1.9" on March 14, 1972 with a low temperature of 36°.
  10. Lots of 40s / lower 50s across the state Monday morning. Very comfortable 70 degree high & 50s DP down here (which are not common by this time of year), and had elevated storms moving around me both Sunday (with a good amount of small hail droppers, interestingly), and Monday mornings. Which was a good cherry on top. Last hurrah frontal airmass of spring outside was good while it “lasted”, very early this week. That looks to be about it for TX comfort season until fall - Onto MCS month, coming up. That convective/supercell phenomena out there west/southwest of Laredo over the open Mexican terrain east of the Sierra mountains is MUCH more common during the Spring months, every year than you might be thinking. The orographic lift from those mountains further west is also what encourages the development out there.
  11. Today
  12. It will be another chilly night with the temperature falling into the lower 40s in New York City. Readings near or below freezing are possible well north and west of New York City tonight where some frost is likely tomorrow morning. After a cold start, the temperature will rise into the upper 50s and lower 60s across the region. It will likely turn noticeably warmer on Sunday as April nears an end. Monday could be the warmest day of the week with widespread readings in the upper 70s and lower 80s. The hottest spots could reach the middle or upper 80s. May will likely start out with warmer to much warmer than normal temperatures. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.7°C for the week centered around April 10. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.17°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.03°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is fading. Neutral conditions could develop later in the spring. The SOI was -14.28 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.550 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 96% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.2° (1.5° above normal).
  13. Awesome out without any wind. I feel like we've had years of windy weather. I'd rather it like this than 15 degrees warmer with a breeze. Just so sick of wind.
  14. Curious what the 00z HRRR will show. 18z HRR showing around 18z Saturday a bit more of a decent environment entering into N IL/S WI. Has anyone had any thoughts on this threat for Chicago area?
  15. Planting my tomatoes today, got some heirlooms this year too, those are my favorite.
  16. What a truly wonderful day out today. Light winds, full sun and 50s
  17. Actually has a lot to do with it. I was pointing out that there have been entire Aprils where the mean minimum temperature was near or below freezing in Detroit. April 1874, of course, was particularly noteworthy, as it was case where the average low for the entire month was only a fraction of a degree warmer than the minimum this morning. An occasional freezing morning is to be expected more often than not.
  18. I hear you and you have good chance. Not gonna happen here. Plenty of 30s to go including tonight's 32F forecast. Shoot my area gets 30s at least once in the summer months (June and August last year)!!
  19. things lookin' pretty good in the long range for warm enthusiasts ...
  20. What does showing the coldest Aprils on record (1874 over 10F colder than avg) have to do with noting the unusual nature of this mornings cold? The record low was missed by 2F and again, as pointed out, the dewpoints were unusually low. Im well aware of the planting guidelines (they say Mothers Day, not Memorial Day) but theres little you can do with trees established in the ground. This marks the 5th consecutive year that the last freeze was later than avg 2024 (Apr 25) 2023 (Apr 26) 2022 (Apr 29) 2021 (May 1) 2022 (May 13) *only May 10, 1966 saw a colder temp so late in the season than the 27F on May 9, 2020).
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