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Brandon Copic has a TOG in New Salem, IN

How can I view the placement of the warm front on models?

It looks like the Ohio Turnpike is sort of the line. Decent amount of CIN in place at the moment in the mid layers. I think the cell around Paulding, OH could stay tornadic until around Bowling Green

Yea, when your wedding anniversary is old enough to vote, you are not a kid anymore :-)

That tornadic storm that moved into me I think only died because of crossing the front which is parked over the county, I was sweating bullets

Damage in Portage looks pretty significant

STP’s are very high in NW Ohio at the moment. That Indiana cell could explode as it heads east. Only caveat is that the air seems drier in NW Ohio

Thanks. Our 19th. I’m officially old I fear.

this is why we don’t want the warm front near us. From the latest SPC MD:"No less than half a dozen long-lived supercells arecurrently noted near this warm front, several of which are, or havebeen tornadic. "

27/17/6

One above normal month (May projected) after another against the highest set of 30 year "normals" we have. You would have to be a high roller to bet against an above normal Summer at this point. Might not be outrageous heat but 2-3 above normal for JJA would not surprise me in the least. Mainly from slightly above normal highs and very warm overnight lows. We'll see.

East wind off the lake may put a lid on this for Toledo proper. Areas to the south though… That Ft Wayne storm looks legit

There are a lot of discrete supercells in Indiana with hooks

Love how everything fully leafed out since Mayorch 1. Full summer looking landscape over the last 7-10 days. Pollen disaster but nothing like a summer look and feel .

Great day for an anniversary. Warm and blue skies. I hope you and your wife enjoy it.

Almost the exact same track as the last one

Another PDS tornado warning right over Portage. Doesn't look overly impressive on radar, not really sure what's on the ground.

Ohh my God. That’s insane for this region. Hopefully everyone was safe

79.6 my high

It was raining on the Harvey Taylor bridge but not a drop at home.

The mean temperature in New York City during the first week of May was 61.6°. That was 1.6° above normal. After a morning shower or thundershower, tomorrow will be another unseasonably warm day with readings reaching the upper 70s and lower 80s across the region. The highest readings are likely in and around Philadelphia where the temperature could top out in the middle or even upper 80s. Another shot of cooler air will likely arrive on Thursday. The chill won't be exceptional for the season. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around May 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.85°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is fading. Neutral conditions could develop later in the spring. The SOI was +7.14 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.200 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 60% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 64.3° (1.1° above normal).

0.88" here this morning. Supercell heading this way near the QC. Luckily low level shear and surface moisture are lacking. EDIT: It's quickly crapping the bed now

Fremont, IN just was hit by a large tornado