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I think Jankoski typically does a pretty good job (if a but optimistic) for forecasting amounts along the spine. I will say, I do not see any support for this 4-8” call! Hoping he’s right though

This is turning into a pretty serious event especially for mid-December. This is the opposite of what we usually see occur. As we get closer the snow amounts keep increasing and the cold shot is looking stronger behind the snow. 3-6 inches followed by wind and teens is quite impressive. Low teens Monday morning then highs only in the 20's and flurries likely.

I’m thinking it’s time for Lwx to push advisories back west some

RAP (i know) on the northern end of the guidance; all in all things like good for a region wide 2-4" (up to 6 locally). good luck all

Like I posted earlier, I think worst-case scenario would too warm at the start but then heavy snow at 33°. I think 2” is almost guaranteed.

Just keep predicting it like you always do, you’ll get it right eventually! Then when the inevitable one hits, take credit for your great forecast! “I called it!” All you ever do is predict major cold and major snow, MJO phase 8, SSWE’s, big SPV disruptions and how La Niña is going to fall apart, winter after winter. And since 2022-23, you have been failing miserably with the lone exception of last winter’s cold. You were “right” by default

CTP has snow starting around 11 pm for HBG

Yeah I'm a little late changing from my Fall pic aren't I?

Lol at the name changing game for this topic. Snow storm title isn't being allowed haha

Yeah. Precip is sliding southeast. Was able to catch a little bubble of heavy snow as it rode southeast from Cedar Rapids. We're in 1.5-2 mile type vis with pixies now. Very strange how we rode the extreme northern edge with both clippers. Usually back to back clippers vary more in their tracks.

Not sure why. We tried.

-10's across NE MN (some -20's) even on the shoreline. Wind chills in the -30's to -40+ in some places. Bitter am. Picked up a 1/4" of snow yesterday. -12 in town here is tied 6th coldest this morning. Another bitter day tomorrow, then things start to warm

this is looking like a nice snow event, very excited for this!

I expect a new snowy cabin profile pic!

3" seems like a decent floor right now based guidance. Was thinking more 2-2.5" yesterday. 4" might be a stretch, but possible.

I'm a little worried about some models running on the north end of the envelope we've seen, I think at this point the fail case for 95 is temps come in a tad high and a slightly overamped storm screws us with too much rain in the early morning to get much. Fingers crossed we see the GFS or something like it pan out...

Nice sounding in the band as it starts cranking around 1am in @mappyland

I told y'all in my post last night it was happening and why. It has been incremental over several runs as guidance has been getting a better handle on the h5 vorticity interactions.

I think you get 3" of snow from this.

Its more that Scandinavian block is more SW on some ensembles now. Unfortunately the WPO/EPO the last couple of cycles are becoming unfavorable again but thats also out at D14-16 so not highly confident in any of the changes

Weenie run for Baltimore!

I honestly don’t remember the last December snow for me outside some snow showers or like 1” or whatever. I was in Westminster before this past year.

Nantucket Sleigh Ride... sounds like what they must call coke and lsd after hearing that

Fwiw, nooner GFS continues the westward tick in qpf for LSV. Not much more room for further adjustments, but I81 and points SE should have plows down (cause ya know they plow 1/4" or greater). Hoping for another HH tick west to bring Carlisle and Blizz into the good stuff as well.

There is another one coming Keep trolling