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Central Park down to 48
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Down to 46 here
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39F now. First 30s and coldest since like April. To think we had our AC on a couple days ago
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
There looks to be agreement among the models that 1-2” of rain will fall Saturday night into Monday, possibly more in localized areas. The details are still being ironed out as there are some differences in when the most impactful rain and wind will be. That could come anytime between Sunday afternoon and Monday afternoon. - Today
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Surprise! Karen is here. Jerry is struggling and MH is looking unlikely, but H is still in the forecast. Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 10 (6) Hurricanes: 6 (3) Major Hurricanes: 3 (2) Fernand, Gabrielle (MH), Humberto (MH), Imelda (H), Jerry, Karen
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GFS pretty significantly further south with the low lol
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Gfs wind field, wave period and significant wave height are higher this run for long Island especially out east
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- heavy rain
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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
Weather Will replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Montauk early forecast, if it's nearly moderate at montauk it's going be way worse further west.
- 91 replies
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- heavy rain
- damaging wind
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(and 2 more)
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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
Weather Will replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Yeah true. Cad will probably drain on down if that depiction on Euro is correct, unless there's pressure from the west pushing that heat Eastward. Could be in serious drought and fire trouble if that Ridge lingers.
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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
WEATHER53 replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think winds may go sustained 25-30 gusting to 40. Be fun to get hit but not hurt -
The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
high risk replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Definitely a camp of solutions that has a bit of a SW--> NE strung-out low solution for Sunday instead of a consolidated storm along the coast. -
The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
Chadzachadam replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Kind of wild how different the models are only ~48 hours out. gfs west, ukie and euro way east, nam and icon kind of in the middle -
The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
Weather Will replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
dmcginvt replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
yup 28 here already. Took the trash out in shorts and a tshirt. Had to remind myself for a minute that I love winter. Stayed out for a few minutes to suck it up now. It always makes a difference in the long run forcing the acclimation. Death to all the things that grow -
I hope it maintains a social distance and complies with all health recommendations.
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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
CAPE replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
lol I only 'care' so I don't have to water the new grass. Mostly just something to track. For some it has been quite dry for the last couple months so I get wanting a soaking rain. -
Karen’s genesis at ~44.4N is the furthest N on record for any TS or STS, beating the old record of 42N from 1952 by a notable amount! Karen had to make a statement! AL, 11, 2025101000, , BEST, 0, 444N, 334W, 40, 998, SS, 34, NEQ, 20, 50, 50, 30, 1012, 190, 20, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, KAREN, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 033, TRANSITIONED, alB62025 to al112025,
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'll be absolutely floored if my area doesn't do better.