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“Pattern shift….” Careful what you wish for. There’s some naive optimism in seeing less mid level troughiness on the west coast but this is not without losing cold anoms in Canada. First week of January is tilted warm, even in the northeast. There’s some indications also, that the MJO makes a pass to 4/5/6 which are all warm phases for Jan.

What ice? Lol

But he's always posted here consistently, even during the summer. I thought maybe he decided to take a break from the board for the summer/fall for a change, but now I'm more concerned since he didn't return for the start of the winter. Hopefully he's ok and will return to the board soon. I'll let you guys know if he messages me back.

Only if you let them lol. Don't read them

It’s truly Crazy how Nostalgic this “Weather on the 8’s” font and picture make me feel. Where do you view this by the way and who created it?

Oh please god no with the buckle up comments. I fucking hate social media types. They’ve ruined weather

I see Sid:

I will add that it might be worth watching that Jan3 system on the GEM. The GEFS(as bad as it has been) has had a slider or two in each of its ensemble members. Low and behold, there it is on the GEM...rain, but decently cold temps and still time for that to trend.

The show said they moved cannons and other supplies across the river on the ice. New York harbor and the Long Island sound also froze over. How far east idk. But apparently the temp never went above 0 for like 2 months in Morristown

Was in Long Beach and can say they definitely had as much or more than at my house. Winter wonderland there.

That’s the ever-popular Yukon Ridge!

If you need a random person online to tell you when to choose optimism, seek help Modeled pattern seems reason enough for me to be optimistic anyway.

^man there are some royalty level snowfall events listed in the analogs

January 6th system is warm. CONUS and Canada cooked. It will want to warm sector where most of us live. You’re making a bad bet on hoping for this to turn to a big snowstorm.

I made it to 32.7 yesterday and am currently sitting at 32.4. There is still ice on all surfaces here except asphalt. It is amazing.

He doesnt post on the other forums Weird

Miller B type cinematic on the operational GFS for a couple runs now for ~the 7th which should be no surprise.

But really, if we can score this....we take it.

Getting 2016 pre storm pattern vibes

Nearly 50 here with steady rains. Gonna be in the teens in 8-9 hours with 50mph winds.

IMO I like the Jan 10-13 timeframe better than Jan 5-8 just because we're more likely to have the PNA and EPO in our favor. Lots of members show big hits on each ensemble then. Jan 5-8 will be hard to get a big storm more than 6+" just because the PNA and EPO are unfavorable. The odds are stacked against us there.

If we can't score just one warning level snowfall in this setup, then something's wrong.