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I can see 18z ukmet through 66hrs on the Pivotal free site. San Diego low opening much more quickly, northern energy pushing significantly further westward into Alberta. A big-time phase seems imminent on that model.

Looking more and more likely. I bought into the “hype” and every outlet and met I follow was saying is was gonna be a massive winter storm. I’m in Atlanta and was never expecting snow, but heavy sleet and lots of ice. Looking more and more like it’s gonna be a cold rain and a dud. I’m ready to wave my white flag and call it quits. Every time I buy all in and start getting hyped, it always goes north. It’s so freaking impossible to get a good winter event down in these parts anymore. What an absolute waste of moisture. Atlanta just can’t have anything nice anymore. I miss the days of when we’d get 4-8” snows almost every few years. Now we’re lucky if we get 1” every 7 years, sigh… .

Everyone says they’re going to bed but I know damned well this crew is staying up for the 0z suite

The fact that a reputable model is getting close to double figures up this way is remarkable. Didn’t expect that for another day or two maybe but apparently the EPS is giving us that.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2026012018/gfs_asnow_seus_26.png

I think so. And me thinking suppression was a huge problem 48 hrs ago and now we are getting models with mixing into southern and eastern zones of our region. Scary how quickly this continues to morph.

I think his map is a pretty safe one as a first call. Easy enough to fine tune with the model chaos and before everyone gets nam'd and before recon data.

Yeah, when I posted that I saw what 6° then it dropped to five and then I looked at Langhorne and they were at 9°. Maybe a different station.

Worcester, PA 5 degrees at 8:45 pm.

Time to take a shot of cheap vodka and ride the shortwave lmao

Paging @Bob Chill

GFS 2m fantasy like when it gives us 113° in July

Idk - should we just pick a place and see if anyone joins us? I like Succotash in downtown dc but I’m open to ideas

What happened to Robert (foothills) & lookout that used to post? Loved their insight

Wilmington could get it, too.

Everyone's favorite model kicks off the 0z suite soon. The cycle continues momentarily

At least the large scale pattern is good, anyway.....beats the past few years.

24” for Wilmington and 11” for Methuen when all is said and done?

Not IMO...unless there is deep H85 inflow, or deformation is right over me. Bank it...quote me next Monday.

Fixed it for you

Still a lot of solutions possible but Euro has slowly been trending north. We’ll see if that trend continues

They are sending flights in

Alot of times these storms come in earlier than modeled so dont be shocked if we see snow Saturday night.

Never good when the cliff dive thread was updated "just now" and the storm thread 20 minutes ago

Way too early to be worrying about coastal front exhaust.