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"Pretty reliable" is an understatement. The least snowy winter on record there is 80" in 1930-31 & 2nd place is 100" in 1899-00. Since 1957, the least snowy is 2023-24 with 153.4". The snowiest is 390.4" in 1978-79.

Whoa... https://x.com/Drewshearer444/status/2033233835303878839 That would be crazy - even if it's more driven by the new outlook methods. I don't think Maryland has ever had a high risk if that's what he is implying they'd upgrade to.

New EURO coming in…

Put it this way: If that setup was in Dallas today it’d be a high risk and you’d probably see stovepipe tornadoes.

That sucks but glad it's under control.

I'm really surprised that there has been very little mention of the threat on my local NOAA forecast. No hazardous weather outlook or anything.

My son took this image from UMD last Friday of some cool optical images in the sky that I thought I would share. This thread seemed like the right place for them.

And now it's time for pressing the refresh button for the 1730z SPC OTLK lol

I’m so ready for the 3” of wet snow that will cover the remains of my house after it gets hit by a tornado

That's an entirely different event.

My wife disagrees with you

Send it up our way. Looking at 1". We'll take more Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Updated

When a Texas native, who is used to severe events, is deeply concerned about the set-up and potential for this one, it really makes me take notice.

Into the warm sector now

I have a weird vibe about this one… going to be a wild day tomorrow. Wish I had my ham license but it’ll definitely be a Skywarn / spotter network day (I still have all the radios, just can’t really [legally] transmit lol.)

That's what I was thinking however we did just jump to 33F here west of Madison. Reports of snow just to my NW.

Can’t really compare that. That day was almost 100 with ton of cape. Also wasn’t even in an Spc outlook for severe in the morning that day.

Going to go outside to enjoy the couple of hours above 50 here before the quick temp crash. It’s going to be a wild ride

Yeah I think we are going to have changeover sooner than expected here.

Going to be interesting to see the evolution of this SPC outlook. HRRR and NAM both seem like the cool off a good bit as soon as the line enters Eastern Berks, Western Montco/Chesco. NAM also has been hinting at a later arrival time for the Philly burbs which might tamp down the storms a bit.

I could be wrong but if memory serves me right with these severe storms in March we (Philly forum) wind up with a more wind driven event than severe lighting and tornados and such. West of us could be an issue but the daytime heating is gone, and we get the leftovers especially east of 95.