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Waiting for a -pna to pop up on the models for our storm.

We have renamed the UKmet after uncleweathbee

I didn't speak in absolutes....all I did was offer an opinion that happens to not jive with the collective preference.

Is this the only thing you post here? lol

They're out mowing their lawns.

that area down and over to Dover got smoked in that storm

Go replace another joint, gimpy, old bitch.

And I am so sick of OCMs and other people saying before any out-of-season event, "the ground is too warm!" FALSE! Sure, at the start if the snow it is, but once intensity picks up and you get relentless phase change cooling from the melting snowflakes on the ground, the warm issue goes away very quickly! And in other parts of the country, it is even more extreme. Early Sep 1993, DEN was 92 for a high one day, and the next day they had 5" of snow. And this: 4/9/1988 Residents of Sioux City, Iowa awoke to find 2 inches of snow on the ground following a record high of 88 degrees the previous afternoon.

No but you do get more leeway in latter Feb with changing wavelengths and the usual indices no longer hitting the way they would in Dec through early Feb.

I would like to see some solid runs from the AI suites. Remember, if AI don't commit, the threat ain't legit.

Yup. Just be vigilant and keep close tabs on it.

3k NAM . Still 48 hours of hand wringing to go .

All it takes is a depicted bomb on guidance within 6-7 days for some to turn on each other and show their true colors. Let's go!

Such a whiny bitch

First broken back of the winter.

I personally would not change plans this far out unless you have plenty of leeway to do so.

The ICON is the reason young weather nerds aren't having real sex anymore.

This is place does get nauseating with people placing any dissenting voice amongst the throng of storm enthusiasts on trial.

Sure

and if you dont, you can still get white rain in Dec/Jan with a very low sun angle just because temps/rates were not good. Jan 2006 i was in the mid 30s with not great rates but it snowed all day and accumulated like a 1:1 inch of pure clear slush. Crazy elevation event here in CT. Some reports within the same town varied from 1-12"

This weekend is probably our last shot at another snowstorm. All indices turn unfavorable after this. March looks warm, maybe very warm.

also not sure how much time we have left, cause tellies look less than stellar beyond, so yall might wanna get pom poms out for this one.

FWIW, the ICON has it as well.

No, you don't get it. My point isn't that it will miss just because earlier episodes of blocking did not result in a big coastal, rather my response to Tony was meant to illustrate that a decaying NAO block does not necessarily have to result in a major coastal. I don't like the position of the ridge in the plains.