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Ridge flex as cold breaks down. Definitely possible.

Grats to Faust area for the most.

Seems like we're done with snow til March

Gulf-effect rain showers at Key West with surface temps in the low 50s. Water temps around 70 (20/21c) and 850s there are slightly below 0. That's about as close to snowing as EYW is ever going to get. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=BYX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad

In the long range i'd stick with what the JMA is showing with the MJO.The CFS has some bias with the tropical convection into the WP/MC from Rossby and Kelvin Waves,you can clearly see this once again,this causes contructive/destructive interference with the MJO signal

There was no recent data. I will check when I get home in about an hour.

A lot of weather seems to follow that fall line.

We went from blizzard to sleetfest to blizzard to nada to 1-2" and are so Back

This is an arctic siege due to duration length. It’s not a frigid one or two day blast which often sets our records but rather a protracted highs 18-25 and lows 0 to 10.

GFS looks good for cyclone at 384 hours!!!!

Low of 11 with minimum hourly wind chill of -4 Any south to southwest breeze influenced warm up is going to travel hundreds of miles over snowpack before reaching our snowpack . It will be interesting to see how that influences milder air attempts starting with tomorrows predicted high temps of 30-33 and 32-35 Tuesday for DC

I'm not sure if i'm looking at the snow cutoff, the fall line, or both.

Now you've done it, you're going to make the storm butthurt and it'll miss us out of spite.

Gusts to 75?

Crazy how used to the cold I’ve gotten. Wind chill of 0 this morning felt totally fine. At this rate I’ll be in shorts when we hit 40

Holy sea smoke in the background or is that blowing snow? I couldn't believe the obs yesterday and last night down south. Many places snowing and in the teens!! 20s only right on the water....wild!

1045 mb high against a 975 mb low is a bit stronger in CAA gusts than 40 mph.. .. heh. Just sayin' that's a damaging CAA event there. Probably b.s. tho

Traditionally I have focused more on teleconnections for cold; and I am pretty ignorant about storm dynamics. I know that Miller A/B are ideal models and most noreasters are hybrids. Is it correct to say that the recent storm was pretty firmly in the Miller B category: a LP coming from the midwest transferring to a coastal low? I understand the general idea of the dry slot coming from the gap between the winding down of the primary and the winding up of the secondary. Is a dry slot an absolute in these types of storms? Are there conditions which lead to smaller or larger dry slots? What factors determine the location of the slot? If the coastal low had formed closer to the coast would the dry slot have been more towards the west, or would it have merged with the precip from the primary low leading to a smaller dry slot (or no dry slot)? I appreciate anyone who feels like taking time to share some knowledge.

driving back from Connecticut should be home in about 30 minutes. I think we’ve got two or 3 inches on the ground. .

October 1976 too. That was the last time Central Park got down to the 20s in October.

I don't think any reasonable person is going to argue that cold anomalies aren't possible moving forward. Obviously that's an irrational take. And I don't post often but I've had an account on here for over a decade. I think you're missing the initial point which was that what we've seen this winter across North America still aligns quite well with what you'd expect to see in a warming world.

FUN! (takes notes) (never too old)

I didn't measure my total here in the Crowders area of Gaston County. But just eyeballing the flat stool I have out in the open in my driveway, I'd say there was about 7-8 inches on it. Given there was probably some compression, I'd say one of the final total graphics I saw that said Gastonia got 11 inches is also probably accurate for my area south of the center city as well, give or take an inch. It's beautiful, though. So happy to see the board win all around for the most part.