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Was hoping for better but this has a ways to go. No sampling and we are mid-day Wednesday and this is a Sunday event.

There is an axiom on these boards that it's wise to go with the least snowy model in the mid-range. So that would be the 12z ECMWF or 12z ICON. Seems reasonable to me.

Well the GFS only has one day 4 bust so far this week, so it's overdue.

Ukie has a lot of something

I'm hedging along that route, Going to need something more to change my mind about anything more widespread, Eastern areas have a shot though.

It’s not that winter is over. It’s just simply that models have gotten way worse in handling Nina winters with low pressure placements and movement and even if any low at all. The my never really could handle Bs and phasing for our region . Last night a 500mb map jumped 800 miles in 6 hours. This is not science, its patchwork example giving .

Nope lol. Maybe it’s(Euro)right..and zero snow.

While we need the blocking for something big, I don't think any here are lookin for a big dog on this one. He's right, it is still a progressive flow, but this one is all about the trough axis and how much it can dive in to push this up the coast and slow the eastward progression. Many here would take a 2-4" scooter up da coast, and be just fine. Point is that trough axis is the key to the snowy promise land on this weekend. Not enough dig, it slides off the carolinas and we smoke distant cirrus here.

No judgement, but wondering how are you able to post so often during school? Are you on a phone or laptop?

It's a fair question. I'm often on my school-provided laptop, so when I finish my work I usually pop in here.

GFS and CMC have a little something too.

There on all guidance but particularly noticeable on euro.

grass was almost halfway covered this am... does that count?

Lesson 1. GFS is trash Lesson 2. Review lesson 1

CMC Ensembles look decent for Sunday.

it was the year i purchased a full on down parka from ll bean....which i did not need till 1994, at which point i had gained a few pounds.....my wife wore it....

another heartbreaker up here...what a major disappointment in middlesex county. there's a reason its forgotten, alright....i think we had 5-6. which is fine, but not when the apocalypse was advertised....

Good news, PNA is finally trending up in the 11-15 day! 6-10 will be moderately negative but not extremely so.

why is it always the scooter shit streak

NWS just upgraded much of NEO to a LESW!

It’s been more like this lately. That’s me the lead singer as the euro rolled out. I think I see Garth too.

these set ups favor ocean/monmouth and long island, not us. we get a few inches, they get buried. we can drive a few minutes south though to see it all....that is, if this even amounts to anything. until the day before, i'm no longer all that excited; and even then, sometimes it doesn't pan out; look at the last one. struggled to make 3 inches....

Nice visibility drop with this squall

I just wanted to say one thing real quick. There is no problem. I just made an off hand - objective - comment in the beginning of this thread it wasn't antagonistic or anything, saying many got a first snowstorm already (and i include some of MA in that as 3-6" is pretty solid) and Methuen is still waiting. When you said EASTERNMASS weather, i just responded in kind joshing back with all caps. There was no hostility or ill will whatsoever. And the title can be whatever, please let's not qualify every single title with except for and not limited to or whatever. Its nbd. It's all good - trust me. I, as well, do not want to clutter up this thread and make it a dumpster fire like the last one, so let me just contribute this. Will was talking about the AI models, while they shouldn't be used soley or trusted, having them on board this time and at least trending better is a green(er) flag. Here's the last 4-5 cycles of the EC AI and GFS AI.