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If what has fallen so far today, And this potential one next weekend, I could end up over my seasonal avg in early Feb.

That ocean snow keeps on tacking on to our nearly 20” total. It’s very cool to see how small the flakes are, especially compared to the start yesterday. Almost like little frozen sand particles. I’m sure the more well versed Mets and posters around here have a proper term for it but it’s those subtle little details I’ve come to appreciate more over the years.

15” snow depth at WXW1 in East Hartford. Shame I couldn’t get a final total but we never mixed so that should be about right. Meanwhile, we’re finally in our wheelhouse here at SLK. Excellent snow growth. 8.4” and counting. Just need to keep it going to get double digits.

Steady snow falling 12.8 degrees

They all sucked with the storm except the WeatherNext. It's the new king. The Euro making that big of a change in 24 hours only 3 to 4 days out was horrible.

trudged into the woods and based on the stakes there, I have received around 10 inches maybe a little bit more. Moderate accumulating snow right now. Not sure where this forcing is coming from because it looks like the other forcing that we’re waiting for is in New York State, but maybe this will just continue to redevelop or develop and not stop before the 850 stuff gets here. .

Ridge looking better out west on 48h GFS

Back into light snow now

trudged into the woods and based on the stakes there, I have received around 10 inches maybe a little bit more. Moderate accumulating snow right now. Not sure where this forcing is coming from because it looks like the other forcing that we’re waiting for is in New York State, but maybe this will just continue to redevelop or develop and not stop before the 850 stuff gets here. . 79113512932__456A4922-AF42-49BB-9546-ED85E20B3CFC.MOV

Generally I would agree but all the models have a big storm in the vicinity and the pattern supports it, plus we're not in fantasy range anymore. Also, there have been a few KU's in the past that were locked in on the models a week out. Of course plenty could still go wrong but it'll be a fun week of tracking at the very least.

Snow moves in Saturday night. 5.5 days

If this one doesn't trend NW, but not too far, it will truly be another epic failure. I saw a discussion about the NW trend being because models mistake something from range, I think it was something to do with sea temperatures maybe, that causes them to almost universally place systems too far SE. Which is why we see the NW trend constantlly.

Admittedly just about every map, every outrageous post on possible accumulations I entered were WRONG. Evolve and learn.

ICON-EPS mean took a big jump west .

Timing's always an issue this far out. Sunday morning would be the brunt of it but could start as early as Saturday afternoon

None of the models were great 5 days out. The Euro AI was always further north and had a dry slot in eastern NC once we got inside of 48 hours.. It was way better than the GFS or ICON. The reason I know this is I looked at waaay too many model runs the last 3 days.

trudged into the woods and based on the stakes there, I have received around 10 inches maybe a little bit more. Moderate accumulating snow right now. Not sure where this forcing is coming from because it looks like the other forcing that we’re waiting for is in New York State, but maybe this will just continue to redevelop or develop and not stop before the 850 stuff gets here. .

I'd like to see some more precip blossom back into GA/SC, rather than depending on the ULL / late phase / negative tilt to do all the work here. I suppose I should just be happy it's still showing up for right now, but I'm greedy.

850/925 vort circled of the 6z Euro Ai...this is the big puzzle pieces to me

The Euro that had a massive snow storm for NC 4 days out only to change to a crippling ice storm 3 days out that ended up not happening either?

ny nj pa weather on youtube showing the storm as hitting on saturday afternoon into sunday if it does hit us this one could be a actual blizzard.

I did my last clean up around 6pm yesterday, it was still sleeting and ended up with about 1/2" of crud this morning. Metal flat blade shovels popped it up real nice. I have some neighbors that haven't touched their drives. They are HOSED.

17" in Springfield.

That is still possible! 5 days out.