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Surface temps are yucky for pretty much everyone but in theory it’s probably a quick paste bomb for most everyone with the timing before it flips to rain.

I'll hug the map just posted thanks

my memories from today are from the start of one of the best storms I've ever seen, 2/8-9/2013 32" in Waterbury with drifts that completely covered my truck and car, insane rates too... could really use one of those right now, then it can spring or do whatever it wants.

Yeah idk…they have an AWPAGs and an 8ft diameter windscreen.

Let’s all turn on our sprinklers maybe it can moisten it up

To me this looks like a miss or a CNE NNE elevation storm. For SNE will not work unless the storm bombs out at the right location.

Sadly I agree. The lead wave runs too far ahead of the main wave, and the main amps too much throwing up too much warm air ahead of it. Verbatim NW of 95 may start out as wet snow then quickly flip to rain

Icon gfs and cmc have a storm on the 16th. Possibly Miller B

Really?

The 12Z Canadian is not snow for most of us; perfect track rain storm.

Icon gfs and cmc have a storm on the 16th. Possibly Miller B

GFS shows an ice storm in cad regions NC

30F / -1 DP.

I’m not sure about that, 6z GFS had a similar idea of a primary west and redevelopment

Yeah the AI is an outlier for sure.

Can we not, now

I'm not a fire fighter, but I'm right there with you regarding summer heat vs winter cold.

From your lips to God's ear. I hope so

Yeah...and that tree just stands out by itself too. I will say, it was not the easiest to get a shot of. I had to work hard the first time I tried to avoid getting the brick wall along the side, the road, power lines, distant buildings farther up the Pike, and the driveway into the school in the shot. And still capture the entire tree (wide angle lens definitely needed!). I just wanted that tree with the background smaller trees and a bit of the grass in the foreground. Once I found a spot, it was easier to do the next times I went to get a photo. I'll offer this advice, if I may (such as it is!)...there's a telephone pole across from the tree (other side of the driveway entrance). I've found that standing propped up against that enabled me to avoid the other distracting elements I mentioned above.

Looks more like GFS OP

So much of what ultimately occurs hinges on wave timing. Its always the case but especially with a busy NS and lacking a true NAO block. It all works out pretty nicely on this run.

Normal CMC kinda looks like that at 12z. I-81 storm.