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Holy wow - I cannot believe this map because I've never seen temperatures like that around here. In my neck of the woods the lowest I've ever seen the temperature was 1 degree.
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My wife has a Wal-mart pick up today. We should be good Milk and peanut butter.
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Rutherford up to Wilkes look like ground zero for ZR with the way it trending. We gotta pray for sleet or we are dealing with serious powergrid issues.
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Big takeaway is NWS is leaning on euro not handling shallow cold air well at all especially in the valley .
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Tallied up the amount of storms that are too north, too south, and misses (under 6in across NOVA). 0z 5 Maxes to the south 14 Maxes to the North 3 Misses North; 1 Miss South 12z 5 Maxes to the South 15 Maxes to the North 9 Misses North Unfortunately the data pretty strongly reflects the assumption that the probability decrease is caused by mixing concerns. Lets hope for future runs that 9 misses north comes down.
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https://apps.apple.com/us/app/crayon-style/id629860673
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Arnt the lakes frozen over? seems like models have the air warm up as it goes over the lakes.
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Euro and NAM completely lost the ice solution up until 12-24 hrs out. Seems like GFS and RGEM wouldn't budge but got wrote off.
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Anyone got individual eps members?
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Because the wave is phasing far west of our typical ideal for a coastal storms.
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I had an inch and half of ice back in 2003 when I lived in the Midlands of SC that went on for like 2 days, and the 2nd day we lost power. I don’t ever wanna see that much ice again in my lifetime. I’ll take the cold rain over that.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
ha- its all good are you young? They do have a visual- its off to the sides, left and right or just below the forward facing camera -
The EPS is probably closer to the Euro AI than it is the OP Euro, temp wise.
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I remember that one well. It was forecasted to be a real snow storm after so many ice storms... but the precip started as sleet and remained that way the whole time from Rockville south.
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I got 1.6" snow .95 freezing rain Sleet predominant or mixed 10 AM to 11 PM Saturday. Wind gusts low 20s at height of freezing rain.... Would be a catastrophe if that comes to pass. Actually terrified of the 100'+ oak trees around my house in this instance.
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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
Chrisrotary12 replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I’m glad this has trended north for us, I just think there are still a lot of caution flags. -
January 24-25: Miracle or Mirage
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think a met posted recently that the Euro surface temps are "broken" and have been way too cold. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
GrandmasterB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Dang, that is SUPER aggressive from Horst! Love to see it. -
I shit you not, I don't think the Euro gets us above 32 for the rest of that run
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I’m the same.
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Snow cover does wonders. Brutal !
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2014 iirc. I sat outside and listens to trees fall for hours. .
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Central Va/RVA also could have real issues with freezing rain too no?
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Yall going to get smoked.
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Wonder what GSP is seeing that the models are not showing. They seem to think the Upstate is going to get smashed.
