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  2. South wind starting to crank up.
  3. These storms have been nice -- not the very strong wind that would cause damage, but lots of lightning.
  4. Getting strike after strike. This storm is blowing up
  5. Yeah another downpour here now with some lightning.
  6. Downpour with thunder in progress. As always …. IMG_2384.mov
  7. Nova starting to clear out based on satellite
  8. Round two of rain moving over. Not heavy but steady. No thunder in either batch.
  9. The way this thing is setting up it's gonna drop a lot of rain on the city to kick us off. Window-rattling thunder already on the UWS.
  10. thats the fast developing pop up storm i just mentioned
  11. Just got an emergency message (nixle) from my local municipal PD here in northern Somerset County about a tornado watch through tomorrow morning. Nothing from the NWS...I see the flash flood watch but I don't know where the reference to the tornado watch comes from...
  12. I see the flood threat but I don't see a severe threat. Think we get downgraded to slight. It's already almost noon with zero clearing to speak of.
  13. I think our window for discrete may be smaller and probably would be timed closer to when the line arrives. Probably looking at 5-7 for discrete with the line rolling through shortly after. I think the overall progression of the warm front has slowed to what it was looking like yesterday. It will be some time before we can get in some sfc instability
  14. now we are having fast developing pop up storms one right over 287 and 78 junction in nj
  15. From your N in PA. It had been years since we have had constant deep thunder like we have had all morning. Like @yoda asked I’m curious if all this here shoves south the hatch area.
  16. Light rain but crazy amounts of thunder and lightning.
  17. With that main system going northeast of the city this morning, there should be a boundary set up right across SE PA and SNJ. Actually looking like one of the better non tropical tornado threats in a while. There’s going to ample instability in place for areas that miss the rain this morning which was my main concern going in. I’m debating going out to chase later if it develops how I think.
  18. Second heavy rain meso issued by WPC Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0766 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1128 AM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026 Areas affected...portions of the coastal Mid-Atlantic Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 181528Z - 182128Z Summary...A couple rounds of showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are expected into late this afternoon. Hourly rain amounts to 2.5" are possible, which could lead to flash flooding in urban areas. Discussion...A thermal boundary extends through portions of the Mid-Atlantic States. Near the boundary, showers and thunderstorms are showing some slight backbuilding character while moving northeast into New York City. Precipitable water values are 1.4-2". MU CAPE is 500-5000 J/kg across the region, with the maximum on the Eastern Shore. Effective bulk shear is ~40 kts. One bout of heavy rainfall in the very near term is expected across southeast NY and portions of CT, while later development is expected to the southwest which should ride up the boundary back into the Tri-State area. Hourly rain amounts to 2.5" are possible either from backbuilding, cell training, or mesocyclone formation. This would be most problematic in urban areas.
  19. Picked up a little over an inch already and looks like another batch of moderate rain should be moving in from PA over the next couple of hours
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